Serie B
· Regular Season - 34
April 11, 2026 15:00
M. Varnier
51'
L. Carissoni
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juve Stabia a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Cesena 23%). The final result was Juve Stabia 2–0 Cesena. In 2 previous meetings, Juve Stabia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Cesena.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
38'
Simone Bastoni
M. Mannini
/ E. Torrasi
46'
M. Bellich
/ S. Diakite
46'
P. Matheu
/ A. Gabrielloni
46'
⚽M. Varnier
51'
55'
Dimitri Bisoli
61'
M. Castagnetti
/
D. Bisoli
61'
M. Olivieri
/
R. Ciervo
61'
T. Corazza
/
S. Bastoni
⚽L. Carissoni
63'
Omar Correia
67'
O. Correia
/ C. Pierobon
77'
81'
G. Vrioni
/
A. Cerri
A. Okoro
/ M. Ricciardi
88'
90'
I. Wade
/
G. Frabotta
Pre-match prediction
47.61%
Juve ←
28.73%
X
23.66%
Cesena
we assigned to the actual result (Juve Stabia)
47.61%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
0.49
-1.01
1.17
0.91
-0.26
Cesena dominated by xG (0.91 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Confente
G
A. Confente
G
6
M. Bellich
45'
D
M. Bellich
45'
D
13
Marco Varnier
1 ⚽
D
Marco Varnier
1 ⚽
D
33
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
77
Alessio Cacciamani
M
Alessio Cacciamani
M
29
O. Correia
77'
M
O. Correia
77'
M
98
N. Mosti
M
N. Mosti
M
24
L. Carissoni
1 ⚽
M
L. Carissoni
1 ⚽
M
76
Mattia Mannini
45'
F
Mattia Mannini
45'
F
70
P. Matheu
45'
F
90
A. Okoro
88'
F
A. Okoro
88'
F
Bench
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
9
A. Gabrielloni
45'
F
A. Gabrielloni
45'
F
10
C. Pierobon
13'
M
C. Pierobon
13'
M
37
F. Maistro
M
F. Maistro
M
2
M. Ricciardi
8'
M
M. Ricciardi
8'
M
46
S. Diakité
45'
D
S. Diakité
45'
D
33
G
99
G. Frabotta
89'
D
G. Frabotta
89'
D
26
D
19
D
15
A. Ciofi
D
A. Ciofi
D
25
D. Bisoli
61'
M
D. Bisoli
61'
M
10
S. Bastoni
61'
M
S. Bastoni
61'
M
9
C. Shpendi
M
C. Shpendi
M
14
T. Berti
M
T. Berti
M
11
Riccardo Ciervo
61'
M
Riccardo Ciervo
61'
M
7
A. Cerri
81'
F
A. Cerri
81'
F
Bench
4
M. Castagnetti
29'
M
24
M. Mangraviti
D
M. Mangraviti
D
32
M. Olivieri
29'
F
M. Olivieri
29'
F
27
T. Corazza
29'
D
T. Corazza
29'
D
Best on the pitch
Marco Varnier
D · Juve
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 78 pass
A. Confente
G · Juve
7.70
· 37 pass
A. Giorgini
D · Juve
7.70
· 65 pass
L. Carissoni
M · Juve
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
N. Mosti
M · Juve
7.20
· 24 pass
Mattia Mannini
F · Juve
7.00
· 10 pass
Juve Stabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Confente | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Bellich | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Marco Varnier | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 78 | 72% | — | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Cacciamani | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Correia | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Mosti | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Carissoni | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mattia Mannini | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Matheu | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Gabrielloni | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Pierobon | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Ricciardi | M | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diakité | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Cesena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| G. Frabotta | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 4 | — | — | |
| A. Ciofi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bisoli | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Bastoni | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Shpendi | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Ciervo | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Castagnetti | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olivieri | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Corazza | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Cesena?
The final score was Juve Stabia 2–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Juve Stabia vs Cesena?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Juve Stabia win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Cesena win.