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Kalamata - PAOK

Cup December 02, 2026 17:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.23%
Win
Kalamata
19.09%
Draw
35.68%
Win
PAOK
2.6
Expected xG
2.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.85%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 19%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 55%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kalamata a 45% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 35% for PAOK. Expected goals are 2.6 for Kalamata and 2.3 for PAOK (total 4.9), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.85% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kalamata have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PAOK.

Season Stats

Kalamata
2W 2D 1L
PAOK
7W 3D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.8
1.4
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
60%
O 2.5
42%
80%
BTTS
58%
20%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Kalamata
1W 1D 1L · at home
PAOK
3W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.2
1.7
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
60%
67%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
60%
67%
O 2.5
20%
33%
O 3.5
20%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kalamata PAOK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
1 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%

Recent form

W Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–2
D Larisa 1–1
D Volos NFC 2–2
W Panetolikos 4–2
L Larisa 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
W AEK Athens FC 3–1
W Atromitos 0–1
D OFI 0–0
L OFI 2–3
W Panathinaikos 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Kalamata Kalamata
Attack
45
Defence
65
Form
58
PAOK PAOK
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Kalamata
0
Draw
0
PAOK
12 Oct 2026 Super League 3–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kalamata vs PAOK?
The model gives Kalamata a 45% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 35% for an PAOK win.
How many goals are expected in Kalamata vs PAOK?
Expected goals: Kalamata 2.6, PAOK 2.3 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Kalamata vs PAOK?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.85%.