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Katsina United - Rivers United

#18 · 4 pts
vs
#2 · 10 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Heavy drizzle 26.7°C 💨 5 km/h 🌧️ 37% · Katsina
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.49%
Win
Katsina United
32.17%
Draw
32.35%
Win
Rivers United
2.82
Expected xG
1.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.16%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (40 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Katsina United a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Rivers United. Expected goals are 2.8 for Katsina United and 1.4 for Rivers United (total 4.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.16% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Katsina United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Rivers United.

Season Stats

Katsina United
5W 3D 7L
Rivers United
8W 1D 6L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.8
1.4
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Katsina United
7W 2D 1L · at home
Rivers United
1W 2D 7L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.8
0.5
Conceded
1.7
70%
Win %
10%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
40%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%
70%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Katsina United Rivers United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.1% 5.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

L Shooting Stars 2–0
W Niger Tornadoes 1–0
L Kwara United 3–0
D Enugu Rangers 1–1
L Rivers United 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W Kun Khalifat FC 5–0
D Nasarawa United 1–1
W Warri Wolves 2–0
W Plateau United 2–0
W Katsina United 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Katsina United Katsina United
Attack
19
Defence
47
Form
29
Rivers United Rivers United
Attack
31
Defence
51
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Katsina United
1
Draw
1
Rivers United
24 May 2026 NPFL 0–3
22 Dec 2025 NPFL 1–1

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Katsina United vs Rivers United?
The model gives Katsina United a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Rivers United win.
How many goals are expected in Katsina United vs Rivers United?
Expected goals: Katsina United 2.8, Rivers United 1.4 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Katsina United vs Rivers United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.16%.