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Kazakhstan - Slovakia

UEFA Nations League November 16, 2026 16:00 Arigato Service Dream, Imabari
Kazakhstan
#4 · 2 pts
vs
Slovakia
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.26%
Win
Kazakhstan
28.1%
Draw
53.63%
Win
Slovakia
0.8
Expected xG
1.64

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.23%)
1X2 Result
1 18%
X 28%
2 54%
Double Chance
1X 46%
X2 82%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slovakia a 53% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Kazakhstan. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kazakhstan and 1.6 for Slovakia (total 2.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.23% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kazakhstan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Slovakia.

Season Stats

Kazakhstan
0W 3D 7L
Slovakia
7W 3D 2L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.6
2.2
Conceded
0.7
1.9
Shots OT
5.3
3.5
Corners
6.2
45%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
42%
40%
BTTS
42%
10%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Kazakhstan
0W 2D 3L · at home
Slovakia
3W 1D 2L · away
0.6
gls/g
1.7
1.4
Conceded
0.8
0%
Win %
50%
40%
Win or Draw
67%
60%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
33%
40%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
60%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kazakhstan Slovakia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 14.3% 11.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.9%
1 7.0% 11.4% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
D Faroe Islands 2–2
L Moldova 1–2
L Slovakia 2–1
D Faroe Islands 1–1
L Norway 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Slovakia Slovakia
W Moldova 0–4
D Faroe Islands 1–1
W Kazakhstan 2–1
W Moldova 2–0
L Slovenia 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Attack
30
Defence
53
Form
14
Slovakia Slovakia
Attack
55
Defence
72
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Kazakhstan
0
Draw
1
Slovakia
29 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 1–2

League C - Group C

# Team G Pts
1 Slovakia Slovakia 4 10
2 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 4 4
3 Moldova Moldova 4 4
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 4 2

What's at stake · League C - Group C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kazakhstan Slovakia
Current #4 #1
→ Kazakhstan #2 #1
→ Draw #4 #1
→ Slovakia #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
The model gives Kazakhstan a 18% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 53% for an Slovakia win.
How many goals are expected in Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
Expected goals: Kazakhstan 0.8, Slovakia 1.6 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.23%.