NPFL
· Regular Season - 5
September 23, 2026 17:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kwara United a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Nasarawa United 28%). The final result was Kwara United 2–1 Nasarawa United. In 2 previous meetings, Kwara United have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Nasarawa United.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
42.45%
Kwara ←
29.01%
X
28.54%
Nasarawa
we assigned to the actual result (Kwara United)
42.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
—
—
0.91
—
—
Lineups
33
O. Khalifa
2
A. Ferinyaro
32
M. Owolijah
5
D. Uche
12
J. Ogbonnaya
14
N. Anthony
4
P. Ozor
24
E. Ekpenyong
8
T. Gidado
11
M. Sanni
9
J. Alex
Bench
17
A. Abdulsalam
18
A. Gata
16
A. M. Mohammed
37
E. Yikat
0
O. Q. Olatunde
26
O. Saheed
25
P. Dewan
0
S. Godwin
35
S. Victor
38
J. Oladeji
6
A. Abdullahi
29
S. Dapma
4
C. Nduka
27
A. Odinaka
5
H. Ebah
11
S. Aluku
10
P. Samuel
8
U. Ada
25
K. Ogbodo
35
J. Istifanus
Bench
37
B. Oche
31
C. Olughu
30
D. Onovo
22
H. Alakija
24
J. Victor Ekioke
7
K. Osanga
17
L. Ugochukwu
15
M. Hassan
39
M. Yakubu
Kwara United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Khalifa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Ferinyaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Owolijah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Uche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Ogbonnaya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N. Anthony | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| P. Ozor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E. Ekpenyong | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| T. Gidado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Sanni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Alex | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nasarawa United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oladeji | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Abdullahi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Dapma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Nduka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Odinaka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| H. Ebah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Aluku | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| P. Samuel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| U. Ada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| K. Ogbodo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Istifanus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
The final score was Kwara United 2–1 Nasarawa United.
What did the model predict before Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Kwara United win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Nasarawa United win.