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Lask Linz - Ried

Cup October 28, 2026 20:30 Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
vs
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 9.7°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 38% · Linz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.07%
Win
Lask Linz
19.61%
Draw
40.33%
Win
Ried
3.15
Expected xG
3.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–3 (5.41%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 20%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 60%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 78%
✓ 75.0% hit rate (20 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lask Linz a 40% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 40% for Ried. Expected goals are 3.2 for Lask Linz and 3.5 for Ried (total 6.7), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–3 at 5.41% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Lask Linz have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ried.

Season Stats

Lask Linz
8W 0D 0L
Ried
6W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.8
Goals
3.0
0.8
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
71%
75%
O 2.5
71%
50%
BTTS
43%
50%
Clean Sht
57%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
80%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Lask Linz
2W 0D 0L · at home
Ried
5W 0D 0L · away
3.5
gls/g
3.4
2.0
Conceded
0.4
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
O 3.5
60%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lask Linz Ried →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
1 0.4% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8%
2 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 4.6% 4.0% 2.8%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 3.0%
4 0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.8% 3.3% 2.3%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%

Recent form

W Deutschlandsberger SC 1–6
W Kalsdorf 0–7
W SCR Altach 4–2
W Ried 1–2
W FC BW Linz 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Wallern / Marienkirchen 1–5
W Dornbirn 1–5
L Lask Linz 1–2
W Rapid Vienna 3–0
W Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Lask Linz Lask Linz
Attack
51
Defence
46
Form
50
Ried Ried
Attack
63
Defence
49
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lask Linz vs Ried?
The model gives Lask Linz a 40% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 40% for an Ried win.
How many goals are expected in Lask Linz vs Ried?
Expected goals: Lask Linz 3.2, Ried 3.5 (total 6.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Lask Linz vs Ried?
2–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.41%.