Latvia - Armenia
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
17.5°C
💨 15 km/h
· Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.72%
Win
Latvia
44.79%
Draw
35.48%
Win
Armenia
0.43
0.74
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(32.61%)
1X2 Result
1
20%
X
45%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
80%
12
55%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
41%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Armenia a 35% win probability, against 44% for a draw and 19% for Latvia. Expected goals are 0.4 for Latvia and 0.7 for Armenia (total 1.2), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 32.61% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Latvia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Armenia.
Season Stats
3W
2D
7L
3W
2D
7L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.1
1.4
Conceded
1.9
2.1
Shots OT
4.5
3.8
Corners
7.0
46%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
58%
O 1.5
83%
42%
O 2.5
50%
42%
BTTS
42%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
2W
1D
3L
· at home
1W
2D
3L
· away
0.7
gls/g
0.8
1.2
Conceded
2.2
33%
Win %
17%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Latvia
Armenia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31.1% | 23.1% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Latvia
Attack
14
Defence
56
Form
40
Armenia
Attack
32
Defence
65
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League C - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Montenegro
|
4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Cyprus
|
4 | 7 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Latvia
|
4 | 1 |
What's at stake · League C - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Latvia | #4 | #3 |
| → Draw | #4 | #3 |
| → Armenia | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Latvia vs Armenia?
The model gives Latvia a 19% win probability, 44% for a draw, and 35% for an Armenia win.
How many goals are expected in Latvia vs Armenia?
Expected goals: Latvia 0.4, Armenia 0.7 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Latvia vs Armenia?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 32.61%.