Liechtenstein - Azerbaijan
⚡ Pre-match analysis
10.5%
Win
Liechtenstein
33.16%
Draw
56.34%
Win
Azerbaijan
0.3
1.22
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(25.44%)
1X2 Result
1
11%
X
33%
2
56%
Double Chance
1X
44%
X2
90%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Azerbaijan a 56% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 10% for Liechtenstein. Expected goals are 0.3 for Liechtenstein and 1.2 for Azerbaijan (total 1.5), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 25.44% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Liechtenstein have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Azerbaijan.
Season Stats
0W
3D
3L
1W
3D
5L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
0.6
1.3
Conceded
2.0
1.3
Shots OT
4.6
1.5
Corners
4.6
48%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
44%
33%
BTTS
44%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
0W
1D
2L
· at home
0W
1D
3L
· away
0.3
gls/g
0.5
1.7
Conceded
3.0
0%
Win %
0%
33%
Win or Draw
25%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
67%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.9% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Liechtenstein
Attack
4
Defence
51
Form
13
Azerbaijan
Attack
37
Defence
79
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
1 Oct 2026
0–0
League D - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 5 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 1 |
What's at stake · League D - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Liechtenstein | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Azerbaijan | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
The model gives Liechtenstein a 10% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 56% for an Azerbaijan win.
How many goals are expected in Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
Expected goals: Liechtenstein 0.3, Azerbaijan 1.2 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.44%.