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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00
Lincoln
#1 · 103 pts
1 – 0
Final score
AFC Wimbledon
#19 · 53 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lincoln
R. One (ast. R. Towler) 88'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 85% win probability (draw 9%, AFC Wimbledon 5%). The final result was Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. In 1 previous meetings, Lincoln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AFC Wimbledon.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
7
14
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
46'
R. Nkeng / R. Johnson ↕
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
52'
59'
Joe Lewis
↕ R. Street / R. One
60'
61'
Antwoine Hackford
66'
O. Foyo / A. Hackford ↕
↕ T. Bayliss / I. Varfolomeev
67'
76'
Nathan Bishop
↕ R. Hackett-Fairchild / D. Jefferies
81'
↕ B. House / A. Lloyd
81'
↕ T. Darikwa / D. Elerewe
81'
87'
K. Jennings / Z. Nelson ↕
⚽R. One · ast. R. Towler
88'
90'+2
Omar Bugiel
90'
N. Asiimwe / P. Bauer ↕
Pre-match prediction
85.33%
Lincoln ←
9.29%
X
5.38%
AFC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln) 85.33% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lincoln
3.58
—
—
AFC
0.90
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Lincoln Lincoln 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.30
6
R. Towler 1 👟 D 7.00
15
S. Bradley D 7.30
22
T. Hamer D 7.30
2
T. Darikwa 81' D 7.70
8
T. Bayliss 67' M 6.60
14
C. McGrandles M 6.50
18
B. House 81' M 7.20
10
J. Moylan M 6.90
7 R. Hackett R. Hackett 81' M 6.90
17
R. Street 60' F 6.30
Bench
19
A. Lloyd 9' F 6.60
16
D. Jefferies 9' M 7.70
24
I. Varfolomeev 23' M 6.90
20
R. One 1 ⚽ 30' F 6.90
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-5-2
1
Nathan Bishop G 7.90
6 R. Johnson R. Johnson 45' D 6.90
15
P. Bauer 89' D 6.70
31
J. Lewis D 6.30
3 S. Seddon S. Seddon M 5.60
37
Z. Nelson 87' M 6.30
12
A. Smith M 6.70
8
C. Maycock M 6.30
33
I. Ogundere M 6.90
9
Omar Bugiel F 6.20
16
A. Hackford 66' F 5.90
Bench
4
J. Reeves M
32
K. Jennings 9' M 6.20
2
N. Asiimwe 1' D
30
R. Nkeng
5
S. Hutchinson M
Best on the pitch
Nathan Bishop
G · AFC
7.90
· 35 pass
T. Darikwa
D · Lincoln
7.70
· 28 pass
D. Jefferies
M · Lincoln
7.70
· 3 pass
G · Lincoln
7.30
· 41 pass
S. Bradley
D · Lincoln
7.30
· 26 pass
T. Hamer
D · Lincoln
7.30
· 28 pass
Lincoln Lincoln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 41 18% — — —
R. Towler D 90 7.00 — 1 — 35 22% — — —
S. Bradley D 90 7.30 — — — 26 14% 1 — —
T. Hamer D 90 7.30 — — — 28 14% — — —
T. Darikwa D 81 7.70 — — — 28 23% 1 — —
T. Bayliss M 67 6.60 — — 1 27 18% 1 — —
C. McGrandles M 90 6.50 — — 1 26 15% 2 — —
B. House M 81 7.20 — — 1 12 10% 4 — —
J. Moylan M 90 6.90 — — — 22 13% 3 — —
R. Hackett M 81 6.90 — — — 32 21% 1 1 —
R. Street F 60 6.30 — — 1 8 2% 1 — —
A. Lloyd F 9 6.60 — — 1 8 3% — — —
D. Jefferies M 9 7.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
I. Varfolomeev M 23 6.90 — — — 8 3% — — —
R. One F 30 6.90 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nathan Bishop G 90 7.90 — — — 35 17% — 1 —
R. Johnson D 45 6.90 — — — 20 12% — — —
P. Bauer D 89 6.70 — — — 30 15% 1 — —
J. Lewis D 90 6.30 — — — 38 20% — 1 —
S. Seddon M 90 5.60 — — — 35 19% — — —
Z. Nelson M 87 6.30 — — 2 17 12% 1 — —
A. Smith M 90 6.70 — — 2 33 21% 2 — —
C. Maycock M 90 6.30 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
I. Ogundere M 90 6.90 — — — 29 22% — — —
Omar Bugiel F 90 6.20 — — — 22 10% — 1 —
A. Hackford F 66 5.90 — — — 13 9% — 1 —
K. Jennings M 9 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
N. Asiimwe D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?
The final score was Lincoln 1–0 AFC Wimbledon.
What did the model predict before Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Lincoln win, 9% to a draw, and 5% to an AFC Wimbledon win.