Lithuania - Liechtenstein
⚡ Pre-match analysis
71.14%
Win
Lithuania
22.74%
Draw
6.11%
Win
Liechtenstein
1.75
0.3
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lithuania
71.14%
Probability
62.9%
1X2 accuracy · 35 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(21.51%)
1X2 Result
1
71%
X
23%
2
6%
Double Chance
1X
94%
X2
29%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lithuania a 71% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 6% for Liechtenstein. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lithuania and 0.3 for Liechtenstein (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.51% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Lithuania have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Liechtenstein.
Season Stats
1W
1D
7L
0W
3D
3L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.5
1.4
Conceded
1.3
3.8
Shots OT
1.3
3.2
Corners
1.5
57%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
44%
O 2.5
33%
56%
BTTS
33%
11%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
0W
1D
3L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
0.8
gls/g
0.7
1.5
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
0%
25%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
33%
75%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
25%
Failed to Score
67%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lithuania
Liechtenstein →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 22.6% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lithuania
Attack
41
Defence
76
Form
49
Liechtenstein
Attack
4
Defence
51
Form
13
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
24 Sep 2026
2–0
League D - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Azerbaijan
|
3 | 5 |
| 2 |
Lithuania
|
3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
2 | 1 |
What's at stake · League D - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #3 |
| → Lithuania | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #3 |
| → Liechtenstein | #2 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
The model gives Lithuania a 71% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 6% for an Liechtenstein win.
How many goals are expected in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Expected goals: Lithuania 1.7, Liechtenstein 0.3 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.51%.