Louisville City - Miami FC
USL Championship
November 08, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.71%
Win
Louisville City
20.39%
Draw
19.9%
Win
Miami FC
2.22
1.24
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Louisville City
59.71%
Probability
69.0%
1X2 accuracy · 71 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.63%)
1X2 Result
✓ 69.0% hit rate (71 picks)
1
60%
X
20%
2
20%
Double Chance
✓ 88.7% hit rate (71 picks)
1X
80%
X2
40%
12
80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
62%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Louisville City a 59% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Miami FC. Expected goals are 2.2 for Louisville City and 1.2 for Miami FC (total 3.5), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.63% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Louisville City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Miami FC.
Season Stats
7W
5D
3L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.2
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in USL Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
5W
4D
1L
· at home
3W
3D
4L
· away
1.4
gls/g
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Louisville City
Miami FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Louisville City
Attack
44
Defence
83
Form
66
Miami FC
Attack
40
Defence
71
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Louisville City vs Miami FC?
The model gives Louisville City a 59% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 19% for an Miami FC win.
How many goals are expected in Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Expected goals: Louisville City 2.2, Miami FC 1.2 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Louisville City vs Miami FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.63%.