Machida Zelvia - Shanghai Shenhua
AFC Champions League Two
November 05, 2026 11:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.72%
Win
Machida Zelvia
29.81%
Draw
21.47%
Win
Shanghai Shenhua
1.29
0.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.54%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
30%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
51%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Machida Zelvia a 48% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Shanghai Shenhua. Expected goals are 1.3 for Machida Zelvia and 0.7 for Shanghai Shenhua (total 2.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.54% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Machida Zelvia have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shanghai Shenhua.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.7
0.0
Conceded
0.7
5.0
Shots OT
2.5
6.5
Corners
4.5
68%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Machida Zelvia
Shanghai Shenhua →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 17.5% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Machida Zelvia
Attack
53
Defence
74
Form
74
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
42
Defence
67
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Group G
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Machida Zelvia
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Svay Rieng
|
3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Shanghai Shenhua
|
3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Tampines Rovers
|
3 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group G
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #3 |
| → Machida Zelvia | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Shanghai Shenhua | #1 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model gives Machida Zelvia a 48% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 21% for an Shanghai Shenhua win.
How many goals are expected in Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Expected goals: Machida Zelvia 1.3, Shanghai Shenhua 0.7 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.54%.