R. Kouda
(ast. S. Trimboli)
23'
L. Mancuso
(ast. T. Marras)
35'
F. Benaissa-Yahia
(ast. S. Trimboli)
90'+5
78'
L. Lucchesi
88'
(ast. Hernani)
D. Mota
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Monza 35%). The final result was Mantova 3–2 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
18
7
Shots on target
10
1.97
Actual xG
2.14
6
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
0
Corners
7
16
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Dembele
11'
⚽R. Kouda
· ast. S. Trimboli
23'
28'
A. Petagna
⚽L. Mancuso
· ast. T. Marras
35'
56'
G. Caso
/
A. Colpani
56'
A. Bakoune
/
F. Delli Carri
56'
Hernani
/
P. Obiang
57'
Hernani
S. Cella
59'
65'
D. Mota
/
P. Azzi
T. Marras
/ C. Falletti
73'
F. Ruocco
/ F. Paoletti
73'
74'
A. Alvarez
/
A. Petagna
78'
L. Lucchesi⚽
R. Kouda
/ N. Buso
80'
L. Mancuso
/ D. Wieser
80'
F. Paoletti
88'
88'
ast. Hernani ·
D. Mota⚽
⚽F. Benaissa-Yahia
· ast. S. Trimboli
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
36.28%
Mantova ←
28.49%
X
35.23%
Monza
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova)
36.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.97
+0.51
1.16
2.14
+0.98
xG dominance was balanced (1.97 – 2.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
G
27
A. Castellini
D
29
S. Cella
D
3
A. Dembele
D
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
1 ⚽
M
80
R. Kouda
1 ⚽
80'
M
R. Kouda
1 ⚽
80'
M
21
S. Trimboli
2 👟
M
S. Trimboli
2 👟
M
96
T. Maggioni
M
19
F. Ruocco
73'
F
23
T. Marras
1 👟
73'
F
9
L. Mancuso
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
10
D. Wieser
10'
M
36
F. Paoletti
17'
M
77
N. Buso
10'
F
20
G
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
1 ⚽
D
Lorenzo Lucchesi
1 ⚽
D
15
Filippo Delli Carri
56'
D
Filippo Delli Carri
56'
D
13
D
7
Paulo Azzi
65'
M
Paulo Azzi
65'
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
14
Pedro Obiang
56'
M
Pedro Obiang
56'
M
19
Samuele Birindelli
M
Samuele Birindelli
M
10
Patrick Cutrone
F
Patrick Cutrone
F
28
Andrea Colpani
56'
F
Andrea Colpani
56'
F
37
A. Petagna
73'
F
A. Petagna
73'
F
Bench
24
Adam Bakoune
34'
D
Adam Bakoune
34'
D
47
Dany Mota
1 ⚽
25'
F
Dany Mota
1 ⚽
25'
F
30
Giuseppe Caso
34'
M
Giuseppe Caso
34'
M
8
Hernani
1 👟
34'
M
Hernani
1 👟
34'
M
17
K. Baldé
F
K. Baldé
F
Best on the pitch
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
9.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
R. Kouda
M · Mantova
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
F. Benaissa-Yahia
M · Mantova
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
G · Mantova
7.90
· 31 pass
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
N. Buso
F · Mantova
7.30
· 6 pass
Mantova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| A. Castellini | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Cella | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Dembele | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kouda | M | 80 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Trimboli | M | 90 | 9.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 52 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Maggioni | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ruocco | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Marras | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Mancuso | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Wieser | M | 10 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Paoletti | M | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Buso | F | 10 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Lorenzo Lucchesi | D | 90 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Filippo Delli Carri | D | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuele Birindelli | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Patrick Cutrone | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Andrea Colpani | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Bakoune | D | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 25 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Caso | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mantova vs Monza?
The final score was Mantova 3–2 Monza.
What did the model predict before Mantova vs Monza?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Mantova win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an Monza win.