Maritimo - Chaves
Taça de Portugal
November 21, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.35%
Win
Maritimo
31.81%
Draw
42.84%
Win
Chaves
0.56
1.13
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.65%)
1X2 Result
1
25%
X
32%
2
43%
Double Chance
1X
57%
X2
75%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
33%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chaves a 42% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Maritimo. Expected goals are 0.6 for Maritimo and 1.1 for Chaves (total 1.7), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.65% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Maritimo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chaves.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
3W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Maritimo
Chaves →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.6% | 20.9% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Maritimo
Attack
25
Defence
46
Form
36
Chaves
Attack
43
Defence
60
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maritimo vs Chaves?
The model gives Maritimo a 25% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 42% for an Chaves win.
How many goals are expected in Maritimo vs Chaves?
Expected goals: Maritimo 0.6, Chaves 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Maritimo vs Chaves?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.65%.