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Melbourne Victory - Viettel

AFC Champions League Two November 25, 2026 08:45
#2 · 4 pts
vs
#4 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.5%
Win
Melbourne Victory
36.33%
Draw
27.17%
Win
Viettel
0.78
Expected xG
0.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.63%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 36%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 64%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Melbourne Victory a 36% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Viettel. Expected goals are 0.8 for Melbourne Victory and 0.3 for Viettel (total 1.1), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.63% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Melbourne Victory have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Viettel.

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory
1W 1D 1L
Viettel
0W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.3
1.0
Conceded
2.3
3.5
Shots OT
1.5
5.0
Corners
2.5
54%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Melbourne Victory Viettel →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 33.0% 10.9% 1.8% 0.2% — —
1 25.7% 8.5% 1.4% 0.2% — —
2 10.0% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —
3 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% — — —
4 0.5% 0.2% — — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

L Persib Bandung 2–0
W FC Seoul 3–0
D Viettel 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L FC Seoul 0–5
L Persib Bandung 1–0
D Melbourne Victory 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Attack
33
Defence
70
Form
52
Viettel Viettel
Attack
22
Defence
58
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Melbourne Victory
1
Draw
0
Viettel
16 Sep 2026 AFC Champions League Two 1–1

Group E

# Team G Pts
1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3 9
2 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 3 4
3 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3 3
4 Viettel Viettel 3 1

What's at stake · Group E

Top 2 advance to the next round

Melbourne Victory Viettel
Current #2 #4
→ Melbourne Victory #2 #4
→ Draw #2 #4
→ Viettel #2 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Viettel?
The model gives Melbourne Victory a 36% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 27% for an Viettel win.
How many goals are expected in Melbourne Victory vs Viettel?
Expected goals: Melbourne Victory 0.8, Viettel 0.3 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Melbourne Victory vs Viettel?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.63%.