← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30
Monza
#3 · 76 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Empoli
#15 · 41 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Pareggio
A. Petagna (ast. P. Cutrone) 29'
F. Delli Carri (ast. G. Caso) 65'
1' S. Shpendi
90'+1 (ast. G. Guarino) S. Shpendi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Empoli 18%). The final result was Monza 2–2 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.24
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
4
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
S. Shpendi⚽
M. Pessina
4'
18'
G. Guarino
⚽A. Petagna · ast. P. Cutrone
29'
46'
D. Degli Innocenti / A. Ghion ↕
↕ A. Bakoune / D. Mota
60'
↕ A. Petagna / A. Alvarez
60'
⚽F. Delli Carri · ast. G. Caso
65'
S. Birindelli
67'
↕ Hernani / L. Colombo
70'
↕ G. Caso / P. Ciurria
70'
72'
B. Popov / M. Nasti ↕
72'
J. Ceesay / S. Elia ↕
74'
S. Romagnoli
76'
M. Lovato
81'
N. Haas / G. Yepes ↕
↕ S. Birindelli / V. Antov
86'
87'
F. Bianchi / S. Romagnoli ↕
90'+1
ast. G. Guarino · S. Shpendi⚽
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Monza
20.26%
X ←
18.28%
Empoli
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.09
1.24
-0.85
Empoli
1.01
1.02
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20
G 6.70
44
D 6.30
15
F. Delli Carri 1 ⚽ D 7.70
19
S. Birindelli 86' D 6.70
3
L. Lucchesi M 6.70
8
Hernani 70' M 7.20
32
M. Pessina M 7.30
24
A. Bakoune 60' M 6.60
30
G. Caso 1 👟 70' F 7.30
10
P. Cutrone 1 👟 F 6.90
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.30
Bench
28
A. Colpani M
47
D. Mota 30' F 7.30
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé F
26
P. Ciurria 20' F 6.30
14
P. Obiang M
Empoli Empoli 5-3-2
21
G 7.00
7 S. Elia S. Elia 72' D 6.20
20
M. Lovato D 6.50
4
S. Romagnoli 87' D 6.30
34
Gabriele Guarino 1 👟 D 6.30
26
A. Candela D 6.20
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 81' M 6.90
18
A. Ghion 45' M 6.20
8
L. Magnino M 6.70
19
M. Nasti 72' F 6.50
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
27
B. Moruzzi D
77
Bogdan Popov 18' F 6.50
17
D. Fila F
70
E. Saporiti M
15
J. Ceesay 18' D 7.00
2
Marco Curto D
32
N. Haas 9' M 6.30
10
R. Ilie M
Best on the pitch
S. Shpendi
S. Shpendi
F · Empoli
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
F. Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 67 pass
D. Mota
F · Monza
7.30
· 12 pass
M. Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 87 pass
G. Caso
F · Monza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Petagna
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 30 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 39 29% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 59 53% 1 — —
F. Delli Carri D 90 7.70 1 — 1 67 60% 3 — —
S. Birindelli D 86 6.70 — — 2 64 54% — 1 —
L. Lucchesi M 90 6.70 — — 2 40 34% — — —
Hernani M 70 7.20 — — 2 65 60% 1 — —
M. Pessina M 90 7.30 — — — 87 73% 1 1 —
A. Bakoune M 60 6.60 — — — 35 26% — — —
G. Caso F 70 7.30 — 1 1 31 28% — — —
P. Cutrone F 90 6.90 — 1 3 34 32% 1 — —
A. Petagna F 60 7.30 1 — 4 30 25% — — —
D. Mota F 30 7.30 — — — 12 8% — — —
P. Ciurria F 20 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 37 27% — — —
S. Elia D 72 6.20 — — 1 14 9% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 6.50 — — 1 34 22% 3 1 —
S. Romagnoli D 87 6.30 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
Gabriele Guarino D 90 6.30 — 1 1 44 34% — 1 —
A. Candela D 90 6.20 — — 1 16 11% 3 — —
Gerard Yepes M 81 6.90 — — 1 31 23% 4 — —
A. Ghion M 45 6.20 — — — 25 21% — — —
L. Magnino M 90 6.70 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
M. Nasti F 72 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
S. Shpendi F 90 8.20 2 — 2 10 7% — — —
Bogdan Popov F 18 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
J. Ceesay D 18 7.00 — — — 5 4% — — —
N. Haas M 9 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Empoli?
The final score was Monza 2–2 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Empoli?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Monza win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Empoli win.