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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 Stadio Brianteo, Monza
Monza
2 – 2
Final score
Empoli
#17 · 7 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Draw
A. Petagna (ast. P. Cutrone) 29'
F. Delli Carri (ast. G. Caso) 65'
1' S. Shpendi
90'+1 (ast. G. Guarino) S. Shpendi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Empoli 18%). The final result was Monza 2–2 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.24
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
4
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
S. Shpendi⚽
M. Pessina
4'
18'
G. Guarino
⚽A. Petagna · ast. P. Cutrone
29'
46'
D. Degli Innocenti / A. Ghion ↕
↕ A. Bakoune / D. Mota
60'
↕ A. Petagna / A. Alvarez
60'
⚽F. Delli Carri · ast. G. Caso
65'
S. Birindelli
67'
↕ Hernani / L. Colombo
70'
↕ G. Caso / P. Ciurria
70'
72'
B. Popov / M. Nasti ↕
72'
J. Ceesay / S. Elia ↕
74'
S. Romagnoli
76'
M. Lovato
81'
N. Haas / G. Yepes ↕
↕ S. Birindelli / V. Antov
86'
87'
F. Bianchi / S. Romagnoli ↕
90'+1
ast. G. Guarino · S. Shpendi⚽
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Monza
20.26%
X ←
18.28%
Empoli
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.09
1.24
-0.85
Empoli
1.01
1.02
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20
G 6.70
44
D 6.30
15 F. Delli Carri F. Delli Carri 1 ⚽ D 7.70
19 S. Birindelli S. Birindelli 86' D 6.70
3 L. Lucchesi L. Lucchesi M 6.70
8 Hernani Hernani 70' M 7.20
32 Matteo Pessina Matteo Pessina M 7.30
24 A. Bakoune A. Bakoune 60' M 6.60
30 G. Caso G. Caso 1 👟 70' F 7.30
10 P. Cutrone P. Cutrone 1 👟 F 6.90
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.30
Bench
28 A. Colpani A. Colpani M
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota 30' F 7.30
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé F
26 P. Ciurria P. Ciurria 20' F 6.30
14 Pedro Obiang Pedro Obiang M
Empoli Empoli 5-3-2
21
G 7.00
7 S. Elia S. Elia 72' D 6.20
20 M. Lovato M. Lovato D 6.50
4 S. Romagnoli S. Romagnoli 87' D 6.30
34 Gabriele Guarino Gabriele Guarino 1 👟 D 6.30
26 A. Candela A. Candela D 6.20
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 81' M 6.90
18 A. Ghion A. Ghion 45' M 6.20
8 L. Magnino L. Magnino M 6.70
19 M. Nasti M. Nasti 72' F 6.50
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi D
77 B. Popov B. Popov 18' F 6.50
17 Daniel Fila Daniel Fila F
70 E. Saporiti E. Saporiti M
15 J. Ceesay J. Ceesay 18' D 7.00
2 M. Curto M. Curto D
32
N. Haas 9' M 6.30
10 R. Ilie R. Ilie M
Best on the pitch
S. Shpendi
S. Shpendi
F · Empoli
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
F. Delli Carri
F. Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 67 pass
Dany Mota
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.30
· 12 pass
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 87 pass
G. Caso
G. Caso
F · Monza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Petagna
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 30 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 39 29% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 59 53% 1 — —
F. Delli Carri D 90 7.70 1 — 1 67 60% 3 — —
S. Birindelli D 86 6.70 — — 2 64 54% — 1 —
L. Lucchesi M 90 6.70 — — 2 40 34% — — —
Hernani M 70 7.20 — — 2 65 60% 1 — —
Matteo Pessina M 90 7.30 — — — 87 73% 1 1 —
A. Bakoune M 60 6.60 — — — 35 26% — — —
G. Caso F 70 7.30 — 1 1 31 28% — — —
P. Cutrone F 90 6.90 — 1 3 34 32% 1 — —
A. Petagna F 60 7.30 1 — 4 30 25% — — —
Dany Mota F 30 7.30 — — — 12 8% — — —
P. Ciurria F 20 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 37 27% — — —
S. Elia D 72 6.20 — — 1 14 9% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 6.50 — — 1 34 22% 3 1 —
S. Romagnoli D 87 6.30 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
Gabriele Guarino D 90 6.30 — 1 1 44 34% — 1 —
A. Candela D 90 6.20 — — 1 16 11% 3 — —
Gerard Yepes M 81 6.90 — — 1 31 23% 4 — —
A. Ghion M 45 6.20 — — — 25 21% — — —
L. Magnino M 90 6.70 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
M. Nasti F 72 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
S. Shpendi F 90 8.20 2 — 2 10 7% — — —
B. Popov F 18 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
J. Ceesay D 18 7.00 — — — 5 4% — — —
N. Haas M 9 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Empoli?
The final score was Monza 2–2 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Empoli?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Monza win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Empoli win.