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Serie B · Regular Season - 38 May 08, 2026 20:30 U-Power Stadium, Monza
Monza
2 – 2
Final score
Empoli
#18 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Monza, result Draw
A. Petagna (ast. P. Cutrone) 29'
F. Delli Carri (ast. G. Caso) 65'
1' S. Shpendi
90'+1 (ast. G. Guarino) S. Shpendi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Empoli 18%). The final result was Monza 2–2 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.24
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
4
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
S. Shpendi⚽
M. Pessina
4'
18'
G. Guarino
⚽A. Petagna · ast. P. Cutrone
29'
46'
D. Degli Innocenti / A. Ghion ↕
↕ A. Bakoune / D. Mota
60'
↕ A. Petagna / A. Alvarez
60'
⚽F. Delli Carri · ast. G. Caso
65'
S. Birindelli
67'
↕ Hernani / L. Colombo
70'
↕ G. Caso / P. Ciurria
70'
72'
B. Popov / M. Nasti ↕
72'
J. Ceesay / S. Elia ↕
74'
S. Romagnoli
76'
M. Lovato
81'
N. Haas / G. Yepes ↕
↕ S. Birindelli / V. Antov
86'
87'
F. Bianchi / S. Romagnoli ↕
90'+1
ast. G. Guarino · S. Shpendi⚽
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Monza
20.26%
X ←
18.28%
Empoli
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.09
1.24
-0.85
Empoli
1.01
1.02
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Avellino Avellino 0 0
2 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 0 0
3 Cesena Cesena 0 0
4 Ascoli Ascoli 0 0
5 Pisa Pisa 0 0
6 Mantova Mantova 0 0
7 Modena Modena 0 0
8 Cremonese Cremonese 0 0
9 Padova Padova 0 0
10 Arezzo Arezzo 0 0
11 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0 0
12 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0 0
13 Carrarese Carrarese 0 0
14 Benevento Benevento 0 0
15 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0 0
16 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0 0
17 Palermo Palermo 0 0
18 Empoli Empoli 0 0
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0 0
20 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0 0
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20
G 6.70
44
D 6.30
15 Filippo Delli Carri Filippo Delli Carri 1 ⚽ D 7.70
19 Samuele Birindelli Samuele Birindelli 86' D 6.70
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi Lorenzo Lucchesi M 6.70
8 Hernani Hernani 70' M 7.20
32 Matteo Pessina Matteo Pessina M 7.30
24 Adam Bakoune Adam Bakoune 60' M 6.60
30 Giuseppe Caso Giuseppe Caso 1 👟 70' F 7.30
10 Patrick Cutrone Patrick Cutrone 1 👟 F 6.90
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.30
Bench
28 Andrea Colpani Andrea Colpani M
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota 30' F 7.30
17 K. Baldé K. Baldé F
26 Patrick Ciurria Patrick Ciurria 20' F 6.30
14 Pedro Obiang Pedro Obiang M
Empoli Empoli 5-3-2
21
G 7.00
7 S. Elia S. Elia 72' D 6.20
20 M. Lovato M. Lovato D 6.50
4
S. Romagnoli 87' D 6.30
34 G. Guarino G. Guarino 1 👟 D 6.30
26
A. Candela D 6.20
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 81' M 6.90
18
A. Ghion 45' M 6.20
8
L. Magnino M 6.70
19
M. Nasti 72' F 6.50
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
27
B. Moruzzi D
77
Bogdan Popov 18' F 6.50
17
D. Fila F
70
E. Saporiti M
15
J. Ceesay 18' D 7.00
2
Marco Curto D
32
N. Haas 9' M 6.30
10
R. Ilie M
Best on the pitch
S. Shpendi
S. Shpendi
F · Empoli
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri
D · Monza
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 67 pass
Dany Mota
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.30
· 12 pass
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina
M · Monza
7.30
· 87 pass
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso
F · Monza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Petagna
A. Petagna
F · Monza
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 30 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 39 29% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 59 53% 1 — —
Filippo Delli Carri D 90 7.70 1 — 1 67 60% 3 — —
Samuele Birindelli D 86 6.70 — — 2 64 54% — 1 —
Lorenzo Lucchesi M 90 6.70 — — 2 40 34% — — —
Hernani M 70 7.20 — — 2 65 60% 1 — —
Matteo Pessina M 90 7.30 — — — 87 73% 1 1 —
Adam Bakoune M 60 6.60 — — — 35 26% — — —
Giuseppe Caso F 70 7.30 — 1 1 31 28% — — —
Patrick Cutrone F 90 6.90 — 1 3 34 32% 1 — —
A. Petagna F 60 7.30 1 — 4 30 25% — — —
Dany Mota F 30 7.30 — — — 12 8% — — —
Patrick Ciurria F 20 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 37 27% — — —
S. Elia D 72 6.20 — — 1 14 9% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 6.50 — — 1 34 22% 3 1 —
S. Romagnoli D 87 6.30 — — — 33 31% — 1 —
G. Guarino D 90 6.30 — 1 1 44 34% — 1 —
A. Candela D 90 6.20 — — 1 16 11% 3 — —
Gerard Yepes M 81 6.90 — — 1 31 23% 4 — —
A. Ghion M 45 6.20 — — — 25 21% — — —
L. Magnino M 90 6.70 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
M. Nasti F 72 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
S. Shpendi F 90 8.20 2 — 2 10 7% — — —
Bogdan Popov F 18 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
J. Ceesay D 18 7.00 — — — 5 4% — — —
N. Haas M 9 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Empoli?
The final score was Monza 2–2 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Empoli?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Monza win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Empoli win.