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← AFC Champions League Two

Muharraq - Arkadag

AFC Champions League Two November 25, 2026 17:00
Muharraq
#3 · 3 pts
vs
Arkadag
#2 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.7%
Win
Muharraq
36.25%
Draw
30.05%
Win
Arkadag
0.65
Expected xG
0.45

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.7%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 36%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 66%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Muharraq a 33% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 30% for Arkadag. Expected goals are 0.6 for Muharraq and 0.4 for Arkadag (total 1.1), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Muharraq have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arkadag.

Season Stats

Muharraq
3W 1D 5L
Arkadag
3W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.8
1.4
Conceded
0.8
4.5
Shots OT
2.5
4.0
Corners
3.5
45%
Poss.
33%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
56%
O 2.5
25%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
21%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Muharraq
2W 0D 2L · at home
Arkadag
0W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.7
1.0
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
33%
25%
O 3.5
17%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Muharraq Arkadag →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 33.6% 15.0% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 21.7% 9.7% 2.2% 0.3% — —
2 7.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% — — —
4 0.2% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Muharraq Muharraq
L Al-Jazira 4–2
W Gol Gohar 2–0
L Arkadag 1–0
L Esteghlal FC 0–3
D Al-Wasl FC 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Arkadag Arkadag
D Gol Gohar 0–0
L Al-Jazira 2–1
W Muharraq 1–0
W Goa 3–0
L Al-Nassr 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Muharraq Muharraq
Attack
42
Defence
74
Form
65
Arkadag Arkadag
Attack
29
Defence
77
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Muharraq
0
Draw
1
Arkadag
15 Sep 2026 AFC Champions League Two 0–1

Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Al-Jazira Al-Jazira 3 7
2 Arkadag Arkadag 3 4
3 Muharraq Muharraq 3 3
4 Gol Gohar Gol Gohar 3 2

What's at stake · Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Muharraq Arkadag
Current #3 #2
→ Muharraq #2 #3
→ Draw #3 #2
→ Arkadag #3 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Muharraq vs Arkadag?
The model gives Muharraq a 33% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 30% for an Arkadag win.
How many goals are expected in Muharraq vs Arkadag?
Expected goals: Muharraq 0.6, Arkadag 0.4 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Muharraq vs Arkadag?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.7%.