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J1 League · 5th place May 30, 2026 07:00
Nagoya Grampus
#12 · 14 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Machida Zelvia
#4 · 28 pts
Y. Kimura (ast. T. Morishima) 10'
T. Takamine (ast. H. Fujii) 90'+2
6' (ast. Y. Soma) H. Nakamura
78' (ast. K. Hayashi) Erik
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Machida Zelvia 33%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Machida Zelvia. In 2 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
8
6
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
1
Corners
2
7
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
6'
ast. Y. Soma · H. Nakamura⚽
⚽Y. Kimura · ast. T. Morishima
10'
21'
H. Nakamura
31'
H. Mae
60'
↕ K. Nakayama / H. Koda
75'
↕ Y. Yamagishi / K. Nagai
75'
75'
R. Shirasaki / N. Lavi ↕
75'
K. Kuwayama / S. Fujio ↕
78'
ast. K. Hayashi · Erik⚽
78'
Erik
84'
K. Sento / Erik ↕
84'
F. Tokumura / Y. Soma ↕
↕ R. Izumi / T. Kikuchi
86'
↕ Y. Nogami / K. Mikuni
87'
⚽T. Takamine · ast. H. Fujii
90'+2
90'+4
H. Mochizuki / H. Nakamura ↕
90'
G. Shoji
Pre-match prediction
41.06%
Nagoya
25.67%
X ←
33.26%
Machida
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nagoya
1.30
—
—
Machida
1.20
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 14 33
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 14 31
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 29
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 13 28
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 13 26
6 Kashima Kashima 14 23
7 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 14 22
8 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 14 22
9 Urawa Urawa 13 21
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 14 17
11 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 14 16
12 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 14 14
13 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 13 14
14 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 14 14
15 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 14
16 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 14 13
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 13 12
18 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 13 10
19 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 13 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 14 8
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G 7.60
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato D 6.30
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii 1 👟 D 7.50
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 87' D 6.50
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama 75' M 6.90
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine 1 ⚽ M 8.90
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima 1 👟 M 7.90
9 Y. Asano Y. Asano M 6.20
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura 1 ⚽ F 7.70
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 86' F 6.50
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 75' F 6.00
Bench
36 Hiroaki Hagi Hiroaki Hagi G
19 H. Koda H. Koda 15' M 6.50
20 K. Mikuni K. Mikuni 13' D 6.90
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai 15' F 6.30
41 M. Ono M. Ono M
30 Shungo Sugiura Shungo Sugiura F
44 S. Mori S. Mori D
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi 14' M 6.70
17 T. Uchida T. Uchida M
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 Kosei Tani Kosei Tani G 6.60
19 Yuta Nakayama Yuta Nakayama D 6.90
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura D 6.20
3 Gen Shoji Gen Shoji D 6.30
26 K. Hayashi K. Hayashi 1 👟 M 6.70
16 Hiroyuki Mae Hiroyuki Mae M 6.90
31 Neta Lavi Neta Lavi 75' M 6.30
88 Hotaka Nakamura Hotaka Nakamura 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70
7 Yuki Soma Yuki Soma 1 👟 84' F 6.90
27 Erik Erik 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.20
9 S. Fujio S. Fujio 75' F 5.60
Bench
11 A. Masuyama A. Masuyama M
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura 16' F 6.20
6 Henry Heroki Mochizuki Henry Heroki Mochizuki 1' D
18 Hokuto Shimoda Hokuto Shimoda M
5 Ibrahim Drešević Ibrahim Drešević D
49 Kanji Kuwayama Kanji Kuwayama 15' F 6.70
8 Keiya Sento Keiya Sento 16' M 6.50
23 Ryohei Shirasaki Ryohei Shirasaki 15' M 6.70
13 Tatsuya Morita Tatsuya Morita G
Best on the pitch
T. Takamine
T. Takamine
M · Nagoya
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 89 pass
T. Morishima
T. Morishima
M · Nagoya
7.90
1 👟
· 77 pass
Y. Kimura
Y. Kimura
F · Nagoya
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 15 pass
Hotaka Nakamura
Hotaka Nakamura
M · Machida
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
A. Pisano
A. Pisano
G · Nagoya
7.60
· 49 pass
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
D · Nagoya
7.50
1 👟
· 91 pass
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Pisano G 90 7.60 — — — 49 44% — — —
Y. Sato D 90 6.30 — — — 60 52% 2 — —
H. Fujii D 90 7.50 — 1 — 91 81% 1 — —
Y. Nogami D 87 6.50 — — 1 35 32% — — —
K. Nakayama M 75 6.90 — — 2 26 22% — — —
T. Takamine M 90 8.90 1 — 2 89 81% 1 — —
T. Morishima M 90 7.90 — 1 — 77 68% 1 — —
Y. Asano M 90 6.20 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Y. Kimura F 90 7.70 1 — 4 15 12% 1 — —
R. Izumi F 86 6.50 — — — 27 24% — — —
Y. Yamagishi F 75 6.00 — — — 10 5% 1 — —
H. Koda M 15 6.50 — — — 13 10% — — —
K. Mikuni D 13 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
K. Nagai F 15 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
T. Kikuchi M 14 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosei Tani G 90 6.60 — — — 33 18% — — —
Yuta Nakayama D 90 6.90 — — 2 49 46% 1 — —
D. Okamura D 90 6.20 — — — 36 30% 1 — —
Gen Shoji D 90 6.30 — — — 31 26% 1 1 —
K. Hayashi M 90 6.70 — 1 — 32 31% — — —
Hiroyuki Mae M 90 6.90 — — — 44 38% 2 1 —
Neta Lavi M 75 6.30 — — — 34 32% 3 — —
Hotaka Nakamura M 89 7.70 1 — 1 26 22% 1 1 —
Yuki Soma F 84 6.90 — 1 1 29 24% — — —
Erik F 84 7.20 1 — 2 23 15% 1 1 —
S. Fujio F 75 5.60 — — 3 24 19% — — —
Futa Tokumura F 16 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Henry Heroki Mochizuki D 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
Kanji Kuwayama F 15 6.70 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Keiya Sento M 16 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Ryohei Shirasaki M 15 6.70 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Machida Zelvia win.