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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 17:15
Nantes
1 – 1
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#11 · 12 pts
Mostafa Mohamed (ast. F. Coquelin) 9'
90'+5 (ast. R. Del Castillo) B. Chardonnet
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nantes a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Stade Brestois 29 31%). The final result was Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
0.91
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
11
Corners
0
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Mostafa Mohamed · ast. F. Coquelin
9'
41'
D. Guindo
45'+1
R. Del Castillo
↕ F. Coquelin / L. Leroux
46'
L. Leroux
56'
D. Tabibou
65'
67'
H. Makalou / J. Dina Ebimbe ↕
67'
K. Lala / D. Guindo ↕
V. Halilhodzic
69'
↕ Mostafa Mohamed / M. Abline
77'
78'
P. Mboup / H. Magnetti ↕
↕ I. Ganago / M. Acapandie
90'+1
A. Lopes
90'+4
90'+5
ast. R. Del Castillo · B. Chardonnet⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Nantes
30.11%
X ←
31.14%
Stade
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.11
0.91
-0.2
Stade
0.93
0.36
-0.57
Nantes dominated by xG (0.91 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 20
2 Lille Lille 9 18
3 Lyon Lyon 9 17
4 Paris FC Paris FC 9 17
5 Rennes Rennes 9 16
6 Marseille Marseille 9 15
7 Monaco Monaco 9 15
8 Nice Nice 9 14
9 Lens Lens 9 13
10 Toulouse Toulouse 10 13
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 9 12
12 Lorient Lorient 9 12
13 Strasbourg Strasbourg 10 10
14 Auxerre Auxerre 9 10
15 Angers Angers 9 8
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 9 8
17 Le Mans Le Mans 9 7
18 Le Havre Le Havre 9 2
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-1-4-1
1 Anthony Lopes Anthony Lopes G 6.30
27 D. Machado D. Machado D 6.90
3 N. Cozza N. Cozza D 6.70
2
Ali Youssef D 6.30
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert D 6.30
13 Francis Coquelin Francis Coquelin 1 👟 45' M 6.70
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago M 6.60
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant M 6.60
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko M 6.60
17 D. Assoumani D. Assoumani 65' M 6.00
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.60
Bench
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem D
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 55' M 6.50
22 Mathieu Acapandié Mathieu Acapandié 9' D 6.50
10 Matthis Abline Matthis Abline 23' F 6.30
26 Uroš Radaković Uroš Radaković D
19
Y. El Arabi F
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
30 G. Coudert G. Coudert G 6.90
27 D. Guindo D. Guindo 67' D 6.00
44 S. Coulibaly S. Coulibaly D 7.00
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet 1 ⚽ D 8.50
12
D 6.20
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti 78' M 6.60
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard M 6.90
14 R. Labeau Lascary R. Labeau Lascary M 6.20
7 J. Dina Ebimbe J. Dina Ebimbe 67' M 6.90
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 1 👟 M 6.30
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque F 6.70
Bench
77 K. Lala K. Lala 33' D 6.90
24 L. Tousart L. Tousart M
Best on the pitch
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet
D · Stade
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
Mostafa Mohamed
Mostafa Mohamed
F · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
D · Stade
7.00
· 69 pass
K. Lala
K. Lala
D · Stade
6.90
· 16 pass
J. Dina Ebimbe
J. Dina Ebimbe
M · Stade
6.90
· 16 pass
J. Chotard
J. Chotard
M · Stade
6.90
1 shots · 40 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Lopes G 100 6.30 — — — 36 23% — 1 —
D. Machado D 100 6.90 — — — 22 17% 3 — —
N. Cozza D 100 6.70 — — 2 31 28% — — —
Ali Youssef D 100 6.30 — — 1 37 27% 1 — —
F. Guilbert D 100 6.30 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Francis Coquelin M 45 6.70 — 1 1 21 18% — — —
I. Ganago M 91 6.60 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
J. Lepenant M 100 6.60 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
I. Sissoko M 100 6.60 — — — 25 23% 2 — —
D. Assoumani M 65 6.00 — — — 20 14% 1 — 1
Mostafa Mohamed F 77 7.60 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
Louis Leroux M 55 6.50 — — 1 8 7% — 1 —
Mathieu Acapandié D 9 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Matthis Abline F 23 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Coudert G 100 6.90 — — — 27 20% — — —
D. Guindo D 67 6.00 — — — 37 27% 1 1 —
S. Coulibaly D 100 7.00 — — — 69 64% 1 — —
Brendan Chardonnet D 100 8.50 1 — 1 60 51% — — —
D 100 6.20 — — — 48 41% 2 — —
H. Magnetti M 78 6.60 — — — 32 24% 3 — —
J. Chotard M 100 6.90 — — 1 40 36% 2 — —
R. Labeau Lascary M 100 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
J. Dina Ebimbe M 67 6.90 — — — 16 15% 4 — —
R. Del Castillo M 100 6.30 — 1 2 36 23% 2 1 —
L. Ajorque F 100 6.70 — — — 5 2% — — —
K. Lala D 33 6.90 — — — 16 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Nantes win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.