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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 17:15
Nantes
1 – 1
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#7 · 5 pts
Mostafa Mohamed (ast. F. Coquelin) 9'
90'+5 (ast. R. Del Castillo) B. Chardonnet
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nantes a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Stade Brestois 29 31%). The final result was Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
0.91
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
11
Corners
0
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Mostafa Mohamed · ast. F. Coquelin
9'
41'
D. Guindo
45'+1
R. Del Castillo
↕ F. Coquelin / L. Leroux
46'
L. Leroux
56'
D. Tabibou
65'
67'
H. Makalou / J. Dina Ebimbe ↕
67'
K. Lala / D. Guindo ↕
V. Halilhodzic
69'
↕ Mostafa Mohamed / M. Abline
77'
78'
P. Mboup / H. Magnetti ↕
↕ I. Ganago / M. Acapandie
90'+1
A. Lopes
90'+4
90'+5
ast. R. Del Castillo · B. Chardonnet⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Nantes
30.11%
X ←
31.14%
Stade
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.11
0.91
-0.2
Stade
0.93
0.36
-0.57
Nantes dominated by xG (0.91 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-1-4-1
1 Anthony Lopes Anthony Lopes G 6.30
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado D 6.90
3 N. Cozza N. Cozza D 6.70
2
Ali Youssef D 6.30
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert D 6.30
13 Francis Coquelin Francis Coquelin 1 👟 45' M 6.70
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago M 6.60
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant M 6.60
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko M 6.60
17 D. Assoumani D. Assoumani 65' M 6.00
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.60
Bench
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem D
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 55' M 6.50
10 M. Abline M. Abline 23' F 6.30
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 9' D 6.50
26
U. Radakovic D
19
Y. El Arabi F
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
30 G. Coudert G. Coudert G 6.90
27 D. Guindo D. Guindo 67' D 6.00
44 S. Coulibaly S. Coulibaly D 7.00
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet 1 ⚽ D 8.50
12
D 6.20
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti 78' M 6.60
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard M 6.90
14 R. Labeau Lascary R. Labeau Lascary M 6.20
7 J. Dina Ebimbe J. Dina Ebimbe 67' M 6.90
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 1 👟 M 6.30
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque F 6.70
Bench
77 K. Lala K. Lala 33' D 6.90
24 L. Tousart L. Tousart M
Best on the pitch
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet
D · Stade
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
Mostafa Mohamed
Mostafa Mohamed
F · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
D · Stade
7.00
· 69 pass
K. Lala
K. Lala
D · Stade
6.90
· 16 pass
J. Dina Ebimbe
J. Dina Ebimbe
M · Stade
6.90
· 16 pass
J. Chotard
J. Chotard
M · Stade
6.90
1 shots · 40 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Lopes G 100 6.30 — — — 36 23% — 1 —
Deiver Machado D 100 6.90 — — — 22 17% 3 — —
N. Cozza D 100 6.70 — — 2 31 28% — — —
Ali Youssef D 100 6.30 — — 1 37 27% 1 — —
F. Guilbert D 100 6.30 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Francis Coquelin M 45 6.70 — 1 1 21 18% — — —
I. Ganago M 91 6.60 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
J. Lepenant M 100 6.60 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
I. Sissoko M 100 6.60 — — — 25 23% 2 — —
D. Assoumani M 65 6.00 — — — 20 14% 1 — 1
Mostafa Mohamed F 77 7.60 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
Louis Leroux M 55 6.50 — — 1 8 7% — 1 —
M. Abline F 23 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Acapandié D 9 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Coudert G 100 6.90 — — — 27 20% — — —
D. Guindo D 67 6.00 — — — 37 27% 1 1 —
S. Coulibaly D 100 7.00 — — — 69 64% 1 — —
Brendan Chardonnet D 100 8.50 1 — 1 60 51% — — —
D 100 6.20 — — — 48 41% 2 — —
H. Magnetti M 78 6.60 — — — 32 24% 3 — —
J. Chotard M 100 6.90 — — 1 40 36% 2 — —
R. Labeau Lascary M 100 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
J. Dina Ebimbe M 67 6.90 — — — 16 15% 4 — —
R. Del Castillo M 100 6.30 — 1 2 36 23% 2 1 —
L. Ajorque F 100 6.70 — — — 5 2% — — —
K. Lala D 33 6.90 — — — 16 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Nantes win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.