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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 02:30
Nashville SC
#1 · 74 pts
1 – 0
Final score
CF Montreal
#15 · 26 pts
S. Surridge 68' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 52% win probability (draw 26%, CF Montreal 21%). The final result was Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for CF Montreal.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
1
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
0
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ J. Bauer / A. Najar
57'
↕ E. Tagseth / B. Acosta
66'
↕ A. Muyl / A. Qasem
66'
⚽S. Surridge (pen.)
68'
74'
D. Rios / F. Herbers ↕
74'
E. Morales / J. Neal ↕
82'
O. Escobar / N. Streit ↕
S. Surridge
86'
88'
F. Amaya / M. Longstaff ↕
↕ S. Mohammed / J. Maher
89'
90'+7
P. Owusu
↕ M. Corcoran / C. Brunet
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.69%
Nashville ←
26.27%
X
21.04%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 52.69% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
1.49
1.70
+0.21
CF
0.91
0.71
-0.2
Nashville SC dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 8.00
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz D 7.00
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 7.20
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 8.20
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 57' D 7.20
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.50
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 89' M 7.30
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 66' M 6.90
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar M 7.00
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth 66' M 7.70
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
31 A. Najar A. Najar 41' D 7.00
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem 32' F 6.20
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 32' M 6.60
12 C. Brunet C. Brunet 8' M 6.60
23 J. Knight J. Knight D
5 J. Maher J. Maher 9' D 6.60
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
21 Thomas Williams Thomas Williams D
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius F
CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3-3
1 S. Breza S. Breza G 6.70
13 L. Petrasso L. Petrasso D 6.20
4 B. Vera B. Vera D 7.20
2 J. Neal J. Neal 74' D 7.50
27 D. Bugaj D. Bugaj D 6.70
22 V. Loturi V. Loturi M 6.50
8 M. Longstaff M. Longstaff 88' M 7.00
21 F. Herbers F. Herbers 74' M 6.30
23 N. Streit N. Streit 82' F 5.90
9 P. Owusu P. Owusu F 6.20
18 H. Synchuk H. Synchuk F 6.30
Bench
5 B. Craig B. Craig D
14 D. Ríos D. Ríos 24' F 6.50
17 D. Þór­halls­son D. Þór­halls­son D
24 E. Morales E. Morales 24' D 7.20
25 F. Amaya F. Amaya 10' M 6.70
26 I. Losenko I. Losenko M
29 O. Escobar O. Escobar 16' F 6.50
41 S. Keita S. Keita G
6 S. Piette S. Piette M
Best on the pitch
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
8.20
· 107 pass
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
8.00
· 30 pass
E. Tagseth
E. Tagseth
M · Nashville
7.70
· 73 pass
M. Corcoran
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.50
1 shots · 83 pass
J. Neal
J. Neal
D · CF
7.50
· 32 pass
S. Mohammed
S. Mohammed
M · Nashville
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 98 8.00 — — — 30 20% — — —
D. Lovitz D 98 7.00 — — — 64 49% 3 — —
M. Woledzi D 98 7.20 — — — 93 90% 1 — —
J. Palacios D 98 8.20 — — — 107 102% 1 — —
J. Bauer D 57 7.20 — — — 43 42% — — —
M. Corcoran M 90 7.50 — — 1 83 79% 1 — —
S. Mohammed M 89 7.30 — — 2 36 29% 2 — —
A. Muyl M 66 6.90 — — 1 20 13% 1 — —
H. Mukhtar M 98 7.00 — — — 45 40% — — —
E. Tagseth M 66 7.70 — — — 73 70% 2 — —
S. Surridge F 98 7.20 1 — 1 15 12% — 1 —
A. Najar D 41 7.00 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
A. Qasem F 32 6.20 — — — 5 3% — — —
B. Acosta M 32 6.60 — — — 7 6% — — —
C. Brunet M 8 6.60 — — — — — — — —
J. Maher D 9 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
CF Montreal CF Montreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Breza G 98 6.70 — — — 28 24% — — —
L. Petrasso D 98 6.20 — — — 32 22% 1 — —
B. Vera D 98 7.20 — — — 54 46% 1 — —
J. Neal D 74 7.50 — — — 32 30% — — —
D. Bugaj D 98 6.70 — — — 32 26% 1 — —
V. Loturi M 98 6.50 — — — 38 33% 1 — —
M. Longstaff M 88 7.00 — — — 53 46% — — —
F. Herbers M 74 6.30 — — — 16 15% 2 — —
N. Streit F 82 5.90 — — — 13 12% — — —
P. Owusu F 98 6.20 — — 2 16 12% 3 1 —
H. Synchuk F 98 6.30 — — 1 19 16% — — —
D. Ríos F 24 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
E. Morales D 24 7.20 — — 1 21 21% 1 — —
F. Amaya M 10 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
O. Escobar F 16 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Nashville SC win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an CF Montreal win.