MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 23, 2026 02:30
S. Surridge
68'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 52% win probability (draw 26%, CF Montreal 21%). The final result was Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
1
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.71
2
Saves
0
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Bauer
/ A. Najar
57'
E. Tagseth
/ B. Acosta
66'
A. Muyl
/ A. Qasem
66'
⚽S. Surridge
(pen.)
68'
74'
D. Rios
/
F. Herbers
74'
E. Morales
/
J. Neal
82'
O. Escobar
/
N. Streit
S. Surridge
86'
88'
F. Amaya
/
M. Longstaff
S. Mohammed
/ J. Maher
89'
90'+7
P. Owusu
M. Corcoran
/ C. Brunet
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.69%
Nashville ←
26.27%
X
21.04%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
52.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.70
+0.21
0.91
0.71
-0.2
Nashville SC dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
B. Schwake
G
B. Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
D
D. Lovitz
D
3
M. Woledzi
D
M. Woledzi
D
4
J. Palacios
D
J. Palacios
D
22
J. Bauer
57'
D
J. Bauer
57'
D
16
M. Corcoran
M
M. Corcoran
M
14
S. Mohammed
89'
M
S. Mohammed
89'
M
19
A. Muyl
66'
M
A. Muyl
66'
M
10
H. Mukhtar
M
H. Mukhtar
M
20
E. Tagseth
66'
M
E. Tagseth
66'
M
9
S. Surridge
1 ⚽
F
S. Surridge
1 ⚽
F
Bench
31
A. Najar
41'
D
A. Najar
41'
D
37
A. Qasem
32'
F
A. Qasem
32'
F
6
B. Acosta
32'
M
B. Acosta
32'
M
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
8'
M
Charles-Emile Brunet
8'
M
5
J. Maher
9'
D
J. Maher
9'
D
23
Jordan Knight
D
Jordan Knight
D
1
J. Willis
G
J. Willis
G
21
Thomas Williams
D
Thomas Williams
D
17
Woobens Pacius
F
Woobens Pacius
F
1
S. Breza
G
S. Breza
G
13
L. Petrasso
D
L. Petrasso
D
4
B. Vera
D
B. Vera
D
2
J. Neal
74'
D
J. Neal
74'
D
27
D. Bugaj
D
D. Bugaj
D
22
V. Loturi
M
V. Loturi
M
8
M. Longstaff
88'
M
M. Longstaff
88'
M
21
F. Herbers
74'
M
F. Herbers
74'
M
23
N. Streit
82'
F
N. Streit
82'
F
9
P. Owusu
F
P. Owusu
F
18
H. Synchuk
F
H. Synchuk
F
Bench
5
B. Craig
D
B. Craig
D
14
D. Ríos
24'
F
D. Ríos
24'
F
17
D. Þórhallsson
D
D. Þórhallsson
D
24
E. Morales
24'
D
E. Morales
24'
D
25
Frankie Amaya
10'
M
Frankie Amaya
10'
M
26
Ivan Losenko
M
Ivan Losenko
M
29
O. Escobar
16'
F
O. Escobar
16'
F
41
Samsy Keita
G
Samsy Keita
G
6
S. Piette
M
S. Piette
M
Best on the pitch
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
8.20
· 107 pass
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
8.00
· 30 pass
E. Tagseth
M · Nashville
7.70
· 73 pass
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.50
1 shots
· 83 pass
J. Neal
D · CF
7.50
· 32 pass
S. Mohammed
M · Nashville
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 93 | 90% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 107 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Najar | D | 41 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Qasem | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
CF Montreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Breza | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Petrasso | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Vera | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Neal | D | 74 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Longstaff | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| F. Herbers | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Streit | F | 82 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Synchuk | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Ríos | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| E. Morales | D | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Frankie Amaya | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| O. Escobar | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
The final score was Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Nashville SC win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an CF Montreal win.