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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 03:15
Nashville SC
#1 · 74 pts
2 – 2
Final score
DC United
#14 · 33 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Nashville SC, result Draw
W. Madrigal 76'
W. Madrigal (ast. A. Najar) 89'
25' (ast. S. Hefti) L. Munteanu
29' (ast. K. Kurokawa) L. Bartlett
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 51% win probability (draw 27%, DC United 21%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–2 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
2.20
Actual xG
1.66
4
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
7
9
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
ast. S. Hefti · L. Munteanu⚽
29'
ast. K. Kurokawa · L. Bartlett⚽
H. Mukhtar
36'
45'+3
S. Hefti
B. Acosta
55'
60'
↕ A. Muyl / W. Madrigal
62'
↕ B. Acosta / C. Brunet
62'
67'
A. Herrera / J. Stroud ↕
J. Palacios
72'
74'
S. Hefti
74'
S. Hefti
⚽W. Madrigal
76'
77'
N. Markovic / J. Hopkins ↕
↕ J. Palacios / M. Woledzi
79'
84'
T. Baribo / L. Munteanu ↕
↕ D. Lovitz / R. Baker-Whiting
88'
↕ A. Qasem / W. Pacius
88'
⚽W. Madrigal · ast. A. Najar
89'
Pre-match prediction
51.75%
Nashville
27.03%
X ←
21.22%
DC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
2.05
2.20
+0.15
DC
0.94
1.66
+0.72
Nashville SC dominated by xG (2.20 vs 1.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-3-3
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 7.20
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 88' D 6.90
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 7.00
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios 79' D 7.20
31 A. Najar A. Najar 1 👟 D 7.30
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 62' M 6.90
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 62' M 6.60
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.30
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem 88' F 6.30
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar F 6.60
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza F 6.90
Bench
12 C. Brunet C. Brunet 31' M 6.90
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer D
23 J. Knight J. Knight D
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi 14' D 6.70
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 5' D
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed M
41 W. Madrigal W. Madrigal 2 ⚽ 31' F 8.70
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius 5' F
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1 S. Johnson S. Johnson G 7.50
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa 1 👟 D 6.50
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 7.00
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett 1 ⚽ D 7.00
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 1 👟 74' D 6.00
7 Peglow Peglow M 6.30
23 B. Servania B. Servania M 6.50
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola M 6.90
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 67' M 6.70
11 L. Munteanu L. Munteanu 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.00
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 77' F 6.60
Bench
26 A. Bono A. Bono G
22 A. Herrera A. Herrera 26' D 6.20
12 C. Antley C. Antley D
30 C. Clark C. Clark M
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell F
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 16' D 6.30
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 9' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
W. Madrigal
W. Madrigal
F · Nashville
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
S. Johnson
S. Johnson
G · DC
7.50
· 22 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.30
1 👟
· 74 pass
M. Corcoran
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.30
2 shots · 58 pass
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.20
· 22 pass
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
7.20
· 71 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 93 7.20 — — — 22 22% — — —
D. Lovitz D 88 6.90 — — 1 43 36% 1 — —
J. Maher D 93 7.00 — — 1 82 76% — — —
J. Palacios D 79 7.20 — — — 71 68% 1 1 —
A. Najar D 93 7.30 — 1 — 74 62% 1 — —
A. Muyl M 62 6.90 — — 1 12 9% — — —
B. Acosta M 62 6.60 — — — 34 28% 2 1 —
M. Corcoran M 93 7.30 — — 2 58 54% 1 — —
A. Qasem F 88 6.30 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
H. Mukhtar F 93 6.60 — — 2 23 19% 1 1 —
C. Espinoza F 93 6.90 — — 2 32 23% — — —
C. Brunet M 31 6.90 — — — 26 25% 1 — —
M. Woledzi D 14 6.70 — — — 15 14% — — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 5 — — — — 4 3% — — —
W. Madrigal F 31 8.70 2 — 3 7 7% — — —
Woobens Pacius F 5 — — — — 1 — — — —
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnson G 93 7.50 — — — 22 4% — — —
K. Kurokawa D 93 6.50 — 1 — 13 9% 1 — —
K. Rowles D 93 7.00 — — 2 11 9% 2 — —
L. Bartlett D 93 7.00 1 — 1 18 11% 1 — —
S. Hefti D 74 6.00 — 1 — 11 5% — 2 1
Peglow M 93 6.30 — — — 17 10% 3 — —
B. Servania M 93 6.50 — — — 24 19% — — —
M. Peltola M 93 6.90 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
J. Stroud M 67 6.70 — — — 8 5% — — —
L. Munteanu F 84 7.00 1 — 1 7 4% — — —
J. Hopkins F 77 6.60 — — 3 10 7% 1 — —
A. Herrera D 26 6.20 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Nikola Markovic D 16 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
T. Baribo F 9 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs DC United?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–2 DC United.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs DC United?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Nashville SC win, 27% to a draw, and 21% to an DC United win.