Skip to main content
← MLS
MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 03:15
#1 · 53 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#12 · 25 pts
Model wrong — prediction Nashville SC, result Draw
W. Madrigal 76'
W. Madrigal (ast. A. Najar) 89'
25' (ast. S. Hefti) L. Munteanu
29' (ast. K. Kurokawa) L. Bartlett
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 51% win probability (draw 27%, DC United 21%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–2 DC United. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for DC United.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
6
2.20
Actual xG
1.66
4
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
7
9
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
25'
ast. S. Hefti · L. Munteanu
29'
ast. K. Kurokawa · L. Bartlett
H. Mukhtar
36'
45'+3
S. Hefti
B. Acosta
55'
60'
A. Muyl / W. Madrigal
62'
B. Acosta / C. Brunet
62'
67'
A. Herrera / J. Stroud
J. Palacios
72'
74'
S. Hefti
74'
S. Hefti
W. Madrigal
76'
77'
N. Markovic / J. Hopkins
J. Palacios / M. Woledzi
79'
84'
T. Baribo / L. Munteanu
D. Lovitz / R. Baker-Whiting
88'
A. Qasem / W. Pacius
88'
W. Madrigal · ast. A. Najar
89'
Pre-match prediction
51.75%
Nashville
27.03%
X ←
21.22%
DC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
2.05
2.20
+0.15
DC
0.94
1.66
+0.72
Nashville SC dominated by xG (2.20 vs 1.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 23 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 23 43
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 22 38
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 23 37
5 Charlotte Charlotte 23 36
6 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 22 31
7 New York City FC New York City FC 23 29
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 23 28
9 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 23 27
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 23 27
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 23 26
12 DC United DC United 22 25
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 23 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 23 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 23 21
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-3-3
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 7.20
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 88' D 6.90
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 7.00
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios 79' D 7.20
31 A. Najar A. Najar 1 👟 D 7.30
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 62' M 6.90
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 62' M 6.60
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.30
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem 88' F 6.30
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar F 6.60
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza F 6.90
Bench
12 Charles-Emile Brunet Charles-Emile Brunet 31' M 6.90
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer D
23 Jordan Knight Jordan Knight D
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi 14' D 6.70
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 5' D
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed M
41 Warren Madrigal Warren Madrigal 2 ⚽ 31' F 8.70
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius 5' F
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1 Sean Johnson Sean Johnson G 7.50
6 Keisuke Kurokawa Keisuke Kurokawa 1 👟 D 6.50
15 Kye Rowles Kye Rowles D 7.00
3 Lucas Bartlett Lucas Bartlett 1 ⚽ D 7.00
5 Silvan Hefti Silvan Hefti 1 👟 74' D 6.00
7 João Peglow João Peglow M 6.30
23 Brandon Servania Brandon Servania M 6.50
4 Matti Peltola Matti Peltola M 6.90
8 Jared Stroud Jared Stroud 67' M 6.70
11 Louis Munteanu Louis Munteanu 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.00
25 Jackson Hopkins Jackson Hopkins 77' F 6.60
Bench
22 Aaron Herrera Aaron Herrera 26' D 6.20
26 Alex Bono Alex Bono G
30 Caden Clark Caden Clark M
12
C. Antley D
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell F
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 16' D 6.30
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 9' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Warren Madrigal
Warren Madrigal
F · Nashville
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
Sean Johnson
Sean Johnson
G · DC
7.50
· 22 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.30
1 👟
· 74 pass
M. Corcoran
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.30
2 shots · 58 pass
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.20
· 22 pass
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
7.20
· 71 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 93 7.20 22 22%
D. Lovitz D 88 6.90 1 43 36% 1
J. Maher D 93 7.00 1 82 76%
J. Palacios D 79 7.20 71 68% 1 1
A. Najar D 93 7.30 1 74 62% 1
A. Muyl M 62 6.90 1 12 9%
B. Acosta M 62 6.60 34 28% 2 1
M. Corcoran M 93 7.30 2 58 54% 1
A. Qasem F 88 6.30 1 12 7% 1
H. Mukhtar F 93 6.60 2 23 19% 1 1
C. Espinoza F 93 6.90 2 32 23%
Charles-Emile Brunet M 31 6.90 26 25% 1
M. Woledzi D 14 6.70 15 14%
R. Baker-Whiting D 5 4 3%
Warren Madrigal F 31 8.70 2 3 7 7%
Woobens Pacius F 5 1
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Sean Johnson G 93 7.50 22 4%
Keisuke Kurokawa D 93 6.50 1 13 9% 1
Kye Rowles D 93 7.00 2 11 9% 2
Lucas Bartlett D 93 7.00 1 1 18 11% 1
Silvan Hefti D 74 6.00 1 11 5% 2 1
João Peglow M 93 6.30 17 10% 3
Brandon Servania M 93 6.50 24 19%
Matti Peltola M 93 6.90 2 16 13% 1
Jared Stroud M 67 6.70 8 5%
Louis Munteanu F 84 7.00 1 1 7 4%
Jackson Hopkins F 77 6.60 3 10 7% 1
Aaron Herrera D 26 6.20 2 2% 1
Nikola Markovic D 16 6.30 5 3%
T. Baribo F 9 6.50 5 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs DC United?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–2 DC United.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs DC United?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Nashville SC win, 27% to a draw, and 21% to an DC United win.