Netherlands - Greece
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.09%
Win
Netherlands
26.44%
Draw
12.47%
Win
Greece
1.7
0.62
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.11%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
26%
2
12%
Double Chance
1X
88%
X2
39%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Netherlands a 61% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Greece. Expected goals are 1.7 for Netherlands and 0.6 for Greece (total 2.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.11% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Netherlands have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Greece.
Season Stats
4W
7D
1L
8W
2D
2L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.6
1.4
Conceded
0.7
6.2
Shots OT
4.3
5.8
Corners
4.4
60%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
92%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
50%
83%
BTTS
25%
8%
Clean Sht
58%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
58%
BTTS
3W
3D
0L
· at home
6W
0D
0L
· away
2.7
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
0.3
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
83%
83%
O 2.5
50%
67%
O 3.5
0%
83%
BTTS
33%
17%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Netherlands
Greece →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Netherlands
Attack
58
Defence
64
Form
61
Greece
Attack
30
Defence
67
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League A - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Greece
|
4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 5 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League A - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Netherlands | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Greece | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?
The model gives Netherlands a 61% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 12% for an Greece win.
How many goals are expected in Netherlands vs Greece?
Expected goals: Netherlands 1.7, Greece 0.6 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Netherlands vs Greece?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.11%.