Matt Polster
(ast. Carles Gil)
26'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New England Revolution a 46% win probability (draw 21%, Chicago Fire 32%). The final result was New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, New England Revolution have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chicago Fire.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
19
4
Shots on target
6
0.31
Actual xG
1.11
6
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
0
Corners
10
14
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Matt Polster
· ast. Carles Gil
26'
58'
Andrew Gutman
Luca Daniel·Langoni
/ Dániel Gazdag
65'
67'
Puso Dithejane
/
Jonathan Bamba
67'
Noah Allen
/
Andrew Gutman
68'
Anzor Mekvabishvili
/
Djé D'Avilla
William Sands
/ Jackson Yueill
75'
Ethan Kohler
79'
79'
Johan Arath Gomez
/
Leonardo Barroso
Dor Turgeman
/ Tanner·Beason
86'
Ilay Feingold
/ Cody Baker
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.08%
New ←
21.35%
X
32.57%
Chicago
we assigned to the actual result (New England Revolution)
46.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
0.31
-1.61
1.60
1.11
-0.49
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
23
W. Sands
75'
D
W. Sands
75'
D
66
J. Wynder
D
J. Wynder
D
22
E. Kohler
D
E. Kohler
D
12
I. Feingold
87'
D
I. Feingold
87'
D
8
M. Polster
1 ⚽
M
M. Polster
1 ⚽
M
21
B. Raines
M
B. Raines
M
10
Carles Gil
1 👟
M
Carles Gil
1 👟
M
41
L. Langoni
65'
F
L. Langoni
65'
F
99
D. Turgeman
86'
F
D. Turgeman
86'
F
25
P. Miller
F
P. Miller
F
Bench
15
C. Baker
3'
D
C. Baker
3'
D
77
D. Fagundez
M
D. Fagundez
M
16
D. Gazdag
25'
M
D. Gazdag
25'
M
7
G. Yow
F
G. Yow
F
73
JD Gunn
G
JD Gunn
G
65
J. Siqueira
M
J. Siqueira
M
14
J. Yueill
15'
M
J. Yueill
15'
M
4
T. Beason
4'
D
T. Beason
4'
D
27
W. Harris
F
W. Harris
F
1
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
A. Gutman
67'
D
A. Gutman
67'
D
4
M. Mbokazi
D
M. Mbokazi
D
21
A. Hanche-Olsen
D
A. Hanche-Olsen
D
2
Leonardo Barroso
79'
D
Leonardo Barroso
79'
D
7
M. Haile-Selassie
M
M. Haile-Selassie
M
42
T. D'Avilla
68'
M
T. D'Avilla
68'
M
6
A. Salétros
M
A. Salétros
M
19
J. Bamba
67'
F
J. Bamba
67'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
F
R. Lewandowski
F
11
P. Zinckernagel
F
P. Zinckernagel
F
Bench
23
A. Mekvabishvili
22'
M
A. Mekvabishvili
22'
M
29
D. Poręba
M
D. Poręba
M
44
J. Cohen
G
J. Cohen
G
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
18
J. Gómez
11'
F
J. Gómez
11'
F
22
M. Pineda
D
M. Pineda
D
32
N. Allen
23'
D
N. Allen
23'
D
12
P. Dithejane
23'
F
P. Dithejane
23'
F
35
S. Oregel
M
S. Oregel
M
Best on the pitch
M. Turner
G · New
8.67
· 29 pass
M. Polster
M · New
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Wynder
D · New
7.76
· 41 pass
Carles Gil
M · New
7.33
1 👟
· 62 pass
I. Feingold
D · New
7.26
· 28 pass
D. Gazdag
M · New
7.25
· 11 pass
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 8.67 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 75 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 7.76 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 87 | 7.26 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Polster | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.33 | — | 1 | 0 | 62 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 65 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Turgeman | F | 86 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Miller | F | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Baker | D | 3 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 25 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 15 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 4 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 67 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 77% | 0 | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 79 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 68 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bamba | F | 67 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | F | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 5 | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 22 | 6.98 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gómez | F | 11 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Allen | D | 23 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 23 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 46% probability to a New England Revolution win, 21% to a draw, and 32% to an Chicago Fire win.