MLS
· Regular Season - 12
May 10, 2026 22:30
H. Wolf
(ast. A. Ojeda)
12'
H. Wolf
(ast. N. Mercau)
16'
H. Wolf
(ast. N. Mercau)
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Columbus Crew 31%). The final result was New York City FC 3–0 Columbus Crew. In 2 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Columbus Crew.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.03
Actual xG
1.07
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
8
17
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Wolf
· ast. A. Ojeda
12'
⚽H. Wolf
· ast. N. Mercau
16'
63'
T. Habroune
⚽H. Wolf
· ast. N. Mercau
66'
68'
S. Bangoura
/
A. Gomes
68'
M. Farsi
/
A. Herrera
68'
D. Gazdag
/
T. Habroune
79'
A. Sejdic
/
D. Chambost
79'
N. Akhundzade
/
H. Picard
H. Wolf
/ M. Jones
85'
K. Parks
/ J. Shore
85'
A. Ojeda
/ A. Farnos
88'
M. Moralez
/ M. Carrizo
90'+1
N. Mercau
/ S. Reid
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
36.65%
New ←
32.02%
X
31.33%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC)
36.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
1.03
-0.27
1.15
1.07
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
D
Nico Cavallo
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
T. Gray
D
T. Gray
D
5
Kai Trewin
M
Kai Trewin
M
55
Keaton Parks
85'
M
Keaton Parks
85'
M
17
H. Wolf
3 ⚽
85'
M
H. Wolf
3 ⚽
85'
M
10
M. Moralez
89'
M
M. Moralez
89'
M
26
A. Ojeda
1 👟
88'
M
A. Ojeda
1 👟
88'
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
2 👟
89'
F
N. Fernández Mercau
2 👟
89'
F
Bench
87
Arnau Farnos
2'
F
Arnau Farnos
2'
F
18
G. Ranjitsingh
G
G. Ranjitsingh
G
32
J. Shore
9'
M
J. Shore
9'
M
15
K. Pierre
M
K. Pierre
M
29
Máximo Carrizo
1'
M
Máximo Carrizo
1'
M
88
M. Jones
9'
F
M. Jones
9'
F
99
S. Reid
1'
F
S. Reid
1'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
30
T. Romero
G
T. Romero
G
28
P. Schulte
G
P. Schulte
G
2
M. Herrera
D
M. Herrera
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
68'
D
Steven Moreira
68'
D
30
H. Picard
79'
M
H. Picard
79'
M
7
D. Chambost
79'
M
D. Chambost
79'
M
20
André Gomes
68'
M
André Gomes
68'
M
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
16
T. Habroune
68'
F
T. Habroune
68'
F
10
D. Rossi
F
D. Rossi
F
Bench
14
Amar Sejdic
11'
M
Amar Sejdic
11'
M
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
46
Chase Adams
F
Chase Adams
F
8
D. Gazdag
22'
M
D. Gazdag
22'
M
23
M. Farsi
22'
D
M. Farsi
22'
D
90
Nariman Akhundzade
11'
F
Nariman Akhundzade
11'
F
1
N. Hagen
G
N. Hagen
G
17
S. Bangoura
22'
M
S. Bangoura
22'
M
21
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
Best on the pitch
H. Wolf
M · New
9.70
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
8.20
2 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.60
· 84 pass
A. Ojeda
M · New
7.60
1 👟
· 21 pass
Kai Trewin
M · New
7.50
· 30 pass
Matthew Freese
G · New
7.30
· 42 pass
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| T. Gray | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wolf | M | 85 | 9.70 | 3 | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Moralez | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Ojeda | M | 88 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 89 | 8.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Shore | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Jones | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Reid | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Schulte | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Herrera | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Zawadzki | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 79 | 75% | — | — | — |
| R. Camacho | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Habroune | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Amar Sejdic | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Farsi | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Bangoura | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Columbus Crew?
The final score was New York City FC 3–0 Columbus Crew.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Columbus Crew?
The model assigned 36% probability to a New York City FC win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Columbus Crew win.