Norway - Wales
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.23%
Win
Norway
35.24%
Draw
18.53%
Win
Wales
1.15
0.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(18.58%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
35%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
82%
X2
54%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Norway a 46% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 18% for Wales. Expected goals are 1.2 for Norway and 0.6 for Wales (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 18.58% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Norway have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wales.
Season Stats
5W
1D
4L
4W
3D
3L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.1
1.5
Conceded
0.9
5.7
Shots OT
3.7
5.4
Corners
4.0
52%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
90%
O 1.5
50%
90%
O 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
4W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
2D
2L
· away
2.8
gls/g
0.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
80%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Norway
Wales →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Norway
Attack
42
Defence
46
Form
17
Wales
Attack
26
Defence
61
Form
24
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
1 Oct 2026
1–2
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Norway | #3 | #4 |
| → Draw | #3 | #4 |
| → Wales | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Norway vs Wales?
The model gives Norway a 46% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 18% for an Wales win.
How many goals are expected in Norway vs Wales?
Expected goals: Norway 1.2, Wales 0.6 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Norway vs Wales?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.58%.