Oxford United - Stevenage
FA Cup
November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.27%
Win
Oxford United
31.27%
Draw
24.45%
Win
Stevenage
1.09
0.68
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(17.97%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
31%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
56%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oxford United a 44% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Stevenage. Expected goals are 1.1 for Oxford United and 0.7 for Stevenage (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.97% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
4.5
Shots OT
—
5.0
Corners
—
54%
Poss.
—
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Oxford United
Stevenage →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Oxford United
Attack
46
Defence
70
Form
68
Stevenage
Attack
36
Defence
77
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
22 Aug 2026
2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?
The model gives Oxford United a 44% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 24% for an Stevenage win.
How many goals are expected in Oxford United vs Stevenage?
Expected goals: Oxford United 1.1, Stevenage 0.7 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Oxford United vs Stevenage?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.97%.