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Vasco DA Gama - Palmeiras

Copa do Brasil November 08, 2026 21:00
Vasco DA Gama
vs
Palmeiras
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.2%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
25.24%
Draw
36.56%
Win
Palmeiras
1.63
Expected xG
1.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.31%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 25%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 62%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 80%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vasco DA Gama a 38% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Palmeiras. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.6 for Palmeiras (total 3.2), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.31% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Season Stats

Vasco DA Gama
6W 7D 2L
Palmeiras
6W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.9
0.7
Conceded
0.7
4.9
Shots OT
5.4
4.3
Corners
5.1
52%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
70%
33%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
20%
40%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
58%
BTTS
Vasco DA Gama
3W 4D 1L · at home
Palmeiras
2W 1D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.0
38%
Win %
40%
88%
Win or Draw
60%
75%
O 1.5
40%
50%
O 2.5
40%
25%
O 3.5
40%
75%
BTTS
40%
25%
Clean Sht
40%
13%
Failed to Score
40%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vasco DA Gama Palmeiras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.4% 8.2% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.3% 8.4% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
W Vitoria 0–2
W Vitoria 1–0
W Fluminense 1–3
D Fluminense 0–0
D Paysandu 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Palmeiras Palmeiras
D Santos 0–0
W Santos 3–0
L Fortaleza EC 3–2
W Fortaleza EC 3–0
W Jacuipense 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
42
Defence
71
Form
54
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
50
Defence
78
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Vasco DA Gama
0
Draw
1
Palmeiras
23 Aug 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–4
12 Mar 2026 Brasileirão Série A 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama a 38% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 36% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.6, Palmeiras 1.6 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.31%.