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Parma - Udinese

Serie A October 28, 2026 18:30 Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma
#19 · 4 pts
vs
Udinese
#17 · 4 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 15.0°C 💨 2 km/h · Parma
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.32%
Win
Parma
32.07%
Draw
31.61%
Win
Udinese
0.99
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.36%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 51%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Parma a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Udinese. Expected goals are 1.0 for Parma and 0.8 for Udinese (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.36% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Parma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Udinese.

Season Stats

Parma
4W 2D 9L
Udinese
4W 2D 9L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.6
2.9
Shots OT
4.5
3.3
Corners
4.3
41%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Parma
3W 3D 4L · at home
Udinese
4W 2D 4L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.9
1.3
Conceded
1.6
30%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Parma Udinese →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9% 13.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% —
1 16.8% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 8.3% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% — —
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Parma Parma
L Lazio 2–1
L Torino 0–3
L Inter 3–0
W Genoa 2–1
L Como 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Udinese Udinese
L AC Milan 0–2
L Lecce 0–3
L Torino 2–1
L Cagliari 0–1
L Inter 5–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Parma Parma
Attack
26
Defence
51
Form
28
Udinese Udinese
Attack
34
Defence
37
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Parma
0
Draw
1
Udinese
18 Apr 2026 Serie A 1–0
29 Nov 2025 Serie A 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
The model gives Parma a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Udinese win.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Udinese?
Expected goals: Parma 1.0, Udinese 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Parma vs Udinese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.36%.