Poland - Sweden
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.66%
Win
Poland
33.56%
Draw
22.78%
Win
Sweden
1.24
0.8
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(15.04%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
34%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
77%
X2
56%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Poland a 43% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 22% for Sweden. Expected goals are 1.2 for Poland and 0.8 for Sweden (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 15.04% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Poland have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sweden.
Season Stats
2W
2D
6L
8W
2D
0L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.6
2.0
Conceded
0.7
5.0
Shots OT
7.8
4.4
Corners
6.6
47%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
90%
70%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
1W
2D
2L
· at home
3W
2D
0L
· away
2.2
gls/g
2.0
1.6
Conceded
0.8
20%
Win %
60%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
60%
60%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Poland
Sweden →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.0% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Poland
Attack
45
Defence
68
Form
30
Sweden
Attack
41
Defence
63
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Sweden
Injured
League B - Group D
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League B - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Poland | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Sweden | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Poland vs Sweden?
The model gives Poland a 43% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 22% for an Sweden win.
How many goals are expected in Poland vs Sweden?
Expected goals: Poland 1.2, Sweden 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Poland vs Sweden?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.04%.