Real Madrid - Fiorentina
Friendlies Clubs
August 01, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.23%
Win
Real Madrid
31.87%
Draw
31.9%
Win
Fiorentina
3.85
1.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.84%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fiorentina. Expected goals are 3.8 for Real Madrid and 1.6 for Fiorentina (total 5.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.84% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
3.7
1.0
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Real Madrid
Fiorentina →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Real Madrid
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
80
Fiorentina
Attack
58
Defence
66
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?
The model gives Real Madrid a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Fiorentina win.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?
Expected goals: Real Madrid 3.8, Fiorentina 1.6 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Real Madrid vs Fiorentina?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.84%.