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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 02, 2026 22:45
Real Salt Lake
#4 · 22 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Portland Timbers
#12 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake
Z. Gozo (ast. S. Solans) 10'
D. Luna (ast. J. Sanabria) 28'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Portland Timbers 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
6
15
Shots on target
2
3.54
Actual xG
1.05
2
Saves
13
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
2
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Z. Gozo · ast. S. Solans
10'
⚽D. Luna · ast. J. Sanabria
28'
46'
K. Miller / F. Surman ↕
59'
I. Smith / A. Bonetig ↕
59'
A. Aravena / C. Bassett ↕
59'
J. Fory
↕ J. Glad / P. Quinton
61'
↕ Z. Gozo / Z. Booth
76'
↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji
76'
82'
I. Smith
J. Sanabria
85'
↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani
89'
↕ S. Spierings / P. Ruiz
89'
90'+1
G. Guerra / K. Kelsy ↕
Pre-match prediction
63.62%
Real ←
19.28%
X
17.1%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 63.62% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
4.00
3.54
-0.46
Portland
1.05
1.05
+-0.0
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.54 vs 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.30
29
D 6.90
15
J. Glad 61' D 7.00
2 DeAndre Yedlin DeAndre Yedlin D 7.00
8 Juan Sanabria Juan Sanabria 1 👟 M 7.30
92 Noel Caliskan Noel Caliskan M 7.90
6 Stijn Spierings Stijn Spierings 89' M 7.20
72 Zavier Gozo Zavier Gozo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
9 Morgan Guilavogui Morgan Guilavogui F 8.00
10 Diego Luna Diego Luna 1 ⚽ 89' F 9.70
22 Sergi Solans Sergi Solans 1 👟 76' F 6.30
Bench
98 Alexandros Katranis Alexandros Katranis D
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
41
G 10.00
27 Jímer Fory Jímer Fory D 6.50
6 Alex Bonetig Alex Bonetig 59' D 6.30
20 Finn Surman Finn Surman 45' D 6.70
5
D 6.30
30
M 7.00
17 Cole Bassett Cole Bassett 59' M 7.20
11 Antony Alves Antony Alves M 6.90
10 David Pereira Da Costa David Pereira Da Costa M 6.30
99 Kristoffer Velde Kristoffer Velde M 6.50
19 Kevin Kelsy Kevin Kelsy 89' F 6.20
Bench
28 Alexander Aravena Alexander Aravena 31' F 6.90
21 Diego Chará Diego Chará M
9 Felipe Mora Felipe Mora F
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith 31' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Portland
10.00
· 31 pass
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
F · Real
9.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 60 pass
Zavier Gozo
Zavier Gozo
M · Real
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots · 31 pass
Morgan Guilavogui
Morgan Guilavogui
F · Real
8.00
5 shots · 49 pass
Noel Caliskan
Noel Caliskan
M · Real
7.90
2 shots · 71 pass
Juan Sanabria
Juan Sanabria
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 47 31% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 63 51% — — —
J. Glad D 61 7.00 — — — 35 34% — — —
DeAndre Yedlin D 90 7.00 — — — 36 36% 1 — —
Juan Sanabria M 90 7.30 — 1 2 37 35% 2 1 —
Noel Caliskan M 90 7.90 — — 2 71 63% 3 — —
Stijn Spierings M 89 7.20 — — 1 43 39% 1 — —
Zavier Gozo M 77 8.20 1 — 7 31 24% — — —
Morgan Guilavogui F 90 8.00 — — 5 49 45% — — —
Diego Luna F 89 9.70 1 — 3 60 54% 1 — —
Sergi Solans F 76 6.30 — 1 3 15 12% — — —
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 10.00 — — — 31 25% — — —
Jímer Fory D 90 6.50 — — — 59 50% 3 1 —
Alex Bonetig D 59 6.30 — — — 26 25% 1 — —
Finn Surman D 45 6.70 — — — 19 18% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 42 32% 3 — —
M 90 7.00 — — — 65 57% 4 — —
Cole Bassett M 59 7.20 — — — 38 31% — — —
Antony Alves M 90 6.90 — — 1 32 26% — — —
David Pereira Da Costa M 90 6.30 — — 1 38 34% 1 — —
Kristoffer Velde M 90 6.50 — — 2 33 23% 1 — —
Kevin Kelsy F 89 6.20 — — 2 17 12% — — —
Alexander Aravena F 31 6.90 — — — 18 18% — — —
Ian Smith D 31 6.60 — — — 13 12% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an Portland Timbers win.