MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 02, 2026 22:45

Real Salt Lake

#4 · 26 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Portland Timbers

#10 · 21 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

Z. Gozo (ast. S. Solans) 10'

D. Luna (ast. J. Sanabria) 28'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Portland Timbers 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics

23

Total shots

6

15

Shots on target

2

3.54

Actual xG

1.05

2

Saves

13

53%

Possession

47%

6

Corners

2

8

Tackles

16

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽Z. Gozo · ast. S. Solans

10'

⚽D. Luna · ast. J. Sanabria

28'

46'

K. Miller / F. Surman ↕

59'

I. Smith / A. Bonetig ↕

59'

A. Aravena / C. Bassett ↕

59'

J. Fory

↕ J. Glad / P. Quinton

61'

↕ Z. Gozo / Z. Booth

76'

↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji

76'

82'

I. Smith

J. Sanabria

85'

↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani

89'

↕ S. Spierings / P. Ruiz

89'

90'+1

G. Guerra / K. Kelsy ↕

Pre-match prediction

63.62%

Real ←

19.28%

X

17.1%

Portland

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 63.62% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

4.00

3.54

-0.46

Portland

1.05

1.05

+-0.0

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.54 vs 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	16	33
2	Los Angeles FC	18	33
3	San Jose Earthquakes	17	33
4	Real Salt Lake	16	26
5	Houston Dynamo	16	26
6	FC Dallas	17	26
7	St. Louis City	17	25
8	Seattle Sounders	16	24
9	Minnesota United FC	17	23
10	Portland Timbers	17	21
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	18	21
12	San Diego	17	20
13	Colorado Rapids	17	19
14	Austin	17	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	17	14

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.30

29

D 6.90

15 Justen Glad 61' D 7.00

2 DeAndre Yedlin D 7.00

8 Juan Sanabria 1 👟 M 7.30

92 Noel Caliskan M 7.90

6 Stijn Spierings 89' M 7.20

72 Z. Gozo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20

9 Morgan Guilavogui F 8.00

10 D. Luna 1 ⚽ 89' F 9.70

22 Sergi Solans 1 👟 76' F 6.30

Bench

98 Alexandros Katranis D

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

41

G 10.00

27 J. Fory D 6.50

6 Alex Bonetig 59' D 6.30

20 Finn Surman 45' D 6.70

5

D 6.30

30

M 7.00

17 Cole Bassett 59' M 7.20

11 Antony Alves M 6.90

10 David Pereira da Costa M 6.30

99 Kristoffer Velde M 6.50

19 K. Kelsy 89' F 6.20

Bench

28 Alexander Aravena 31' F 6.90

21 Diego Chará M

9 Felipe Mora F

23 Ian Smith 31' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

G · Portland

10.00

· 31 pass

D. Luna

F · Real

9.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 60 pass

Z. Gozo

M · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

7 shots · 31 pass

Morgan Guilavogui

F · Real

8.00

5 shots · 49 pass

Noel Caliskan

M · Real

7.90

2 shots · 71 pass

Juan Sanabria

M · Real

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 37 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	31%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	63	51%	—	—	—
Justen Glad	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	35	34%	—	—	—
DeAndre Yedlin	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	36%	1	—	—
Juan Sanabria	M	90	7.30	—	1	2	37	35%	2	1	—
Noel Caliskan	M	90	7.90	—	—	2	71	63%	3	—	—
Stijn Spierings	M	89	7.20	—	—	1	43	39%	1	—	—
Z. Gozo	M	77	8.20	1	—	7	31	24%	—	—	—
Morgan Guilavogui	F	90	8.00	—	—	5	49	45%	—	—	—
D. Luna	F	89	9.70	1	—	3	60	54%	1	—	—
Sergi Solans	F	76	6.30	—	1	3	15	12%	—	—	—

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	10.00	—	—	—	31	25%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	59	50%	3	1	—
Alex Bonetig	D	59	6.30	—	—	—	26	25%	1	—	—
Finn Surman	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	19	18%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	65	57%	4	—	—
Cole Bassett	M	59	7.20	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
Antony Alves	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	32	26%	—	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	38	34%	1	—	—
Kristoffer Velde	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	33	23%	1	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	89	6.20	—	—	2	17	12%	—	—	—
Alexander Aravena	F	31	6.90	—	—	—	18	18%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	31	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	1	1	—