MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 02, 2026 22:45

Real Salt Lake

#11 · 32 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Portland Timbers

#10 · 32 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake

Z. Gozo (ast. S. Solans) 10'

D. Luna (ast. J. Sanabria) 28'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Portland Timbers 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics

23

Total shots

6

15

Shots on target

2

3.54

Actual xG

1.05

2

Saves

13

53%

Possession

47%

6

Corners

2

8

Tackles

16

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽Z. Gozo · ast. S. Solans

10'

⚽D. Luna · ast. J. Sanabria

28'

46'

K. Miller / F. Surman ↕

59'

I. Smith / A. Bonetig ↕

59'

A. Aravena / C. Bassett ↕

59'

J. Fory

↕ J. Glad / P. Quinton

61'

↕ Z. Gozo / Z. Booth

76'

↕ S. Solans / V. Olatunji

76'

82'

I. Smith

J. Sanabria

85'

↕ D. Luna / A. Hezarkhani

89'

↕ S. Spierings / P. Ruiz

89'

90'+1

G. Guerra / K. Kelsy ↕

Pre-match prediction

63.62%

Real ←

19.28%

X

17.1%

Portland

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 63.62% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

4.00

3.54

-0.46

Portland

1.05

1.05

+-0.0

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.54 vs 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.30

29

D 6.90

15 Justen Glad 61' D 7.00

2 D. Yedlin D 7.00

8 Juan Sanabria 1 👟 M 7.30

92 N. Caliskan M 7.90

6 S. Spierings 89' M 7.20

72 Zavier Gozo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20

9 M. Guilavogui F 8.00

10 D. Luna 1 ⚽ 89' F 9.70

22 S. Solans 1 👟 76' F 6.30

Bench

98 Alexandros Katranis D

Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1

41

G 10.00

27 J. Fory D 6.50

6 A. Bonetig 59' D 6.30

20 Finn Surman 45' D 6.70

5

D 6.30

30

M 7.00

17 C. Bassett 59' M 7.20

11 Antony M 6.90

10 David Pereira da Costa M 6.30

99 K. Velde M 6.50

19 Kevin Kelsy 89' F 6.20

Bench

28 A. Aravena 31' F 6.90

21 D. Chará M

9 F. Mora F

23 Ian Smith 31' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

G · Portland

10.00

· 31 pass

D. Luna

F · Real

9.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 60 pass

Zavier Gozo

M · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

7 shots · 31 pass

M. Guilavogui

F · Real

8.00

5 shots · 49 pass

N. Caliskan

M · Real

7.90

2 shots · 71 pass

Juan Sanabria

M · Real

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 37 pass

Real Salt Lake — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	31%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	63	51%	—	—	—
Justen Glad	D	61	7.00	—	—	—	35	34%	—	—	—
D. Yedlin	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	36	36%	1	—	—
Juan Sanabria	M	90	7.30	—	1	2	37	35%	2	1	—
N. Caliskan	M	90	7.90	—	—	2	71	63%	3	—	—
S. Spierings	M	89	7.20	—	—	1	43	39%	1	—	—
Zavier Gozo	M	77	8.20	1	—	7	31	24%	—	—	—
M. Guilavogui	F	90	8.00	—	—	5	49	45%	—	—	—
D. Luna	F	89	9.70	1	—	3	60	54%	1	—	—
S. Solans	F	76	6.30	—	1	3	15	12%	—	—	—

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	10.00	—	—	—	31	25%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	59	50%	3	1	—
A. Bonetig	D	59	6.30	—	—	—	26	25%	1	—	—
Finn Surman	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	19	18%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	65	57%	4	—	—
C. Bassett	M	59	7.20	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
Antony	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	32	26%	—	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	38	34%	1	—	—
K. Velde	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	33	23%	1	—	—
Kevin Kelsy	F	89	6.20	—	—	2	17	12%	—	—	—
A. Aravena	F	31	6.90	—	—	—	18	18%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	31	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	1	1	—