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← UEFA Nations League

Rep. Of Ireland - Kosovo

UEFA Nations League November 17, 2026 20:45 Arigato Service Dream, Imabari
Rep. Of Ireland
#3 · 5 pts
vs
Kosovo
#2 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.91%
Win
Rep. Of Ireland
39.42%
Draw
22.67%
Win
Kosovo
0.9
Expected xG
0.65

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (23.15%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 39%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 62%
12 61%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rep. Of Ireland a 37% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 22% for Kosovo. Expected goals are 0.9 for Rep. Of Ireland and 0.6 for Kosovo (total 1.6), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 23.15% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Rep. Of Ireland have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kosovo.

Season Stats

Rep. Of Ireland
5W 2D 5L
Kosovo
7W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.1
3.1
Shots OT
5.2
2.9
Corners
3.8
42%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
67%
42%
BTTS
42%
17%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Rep. Of Ireland
2W 2D 2L · at home
Kosovo
3W 1D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.3
33%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
83%
O 1.5
83%
33%
O 2.5
83%
17%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sht
33%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rep. Of Ireland Kosovo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.2% 13.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 19.2% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% —
2 8.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
D Israel 1–1
D Austria 2–2
W Israel 0–3
L Kosovo 1–0
W Bulgaria 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Kosovo Kosovo
D Austria 1–1
D Israel 0–0
L Austria 3–1
W Rep. Of Ireland 1–0
W Iceland 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
Attack
34
Defence
70
Form
36
Kosovo Kosovo
Attack
36
Defence
68
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Rep. Of Ireland
0
Draw
1
Kosovo
24 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–1

League B - Group C

# Team G Pts
1 Austria Austria 4 8
2 Kosovo Kosovo 4 5
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 4 5
4 Israel Israel 4 2

What's at stake · League B - Group C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Rep. Of Ireland Kosovo
Current #3 #2
→ Rep. Of Ireland #2 #3
→ Draw #2 #3
→ Kosovo #3 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo?
The model gives Rep. Of Ireland a 37% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 22% for an Kosovo win.
How many goals are expected in Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Expected goals: Rep. Of Ireland 0.9, Kosovo 0.6 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 23.15%.