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Rio Ave - Guimaraes

Friendlies Clubs July 23, 2026 14:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.34%
Win
Rio Ave
31.87%
Draw
33.8%
Win
Guimaraes
1.76
Expected xG
1.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.14%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rio Ave a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Guimaraes. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rio Ave and 1.8 for Guimaraes (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.14% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Guimaraes.

Season Stats

Rio Ave
2W 1D 0L
Guimaraes
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
3.3
1.0
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Rio Ave Guimaraes →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.7% 4.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Tondela 3–1
D Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–2
W Portimonense 0–3
W Arouca 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
W Chaves 2–0
D Nottingham Forest 1–1
W Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–3
W Academica 2–0
W Penafiel 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Rio Ave Rio Ave
Attack
58
Defence
75
Form
69
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Attack
65
Defence
85
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?
The model gives Rio Ave a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Guimaraes win.
How many goals are expected in Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?
Expected goals: Rio Ave 1.8, Guimaraes 1.8 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Rio Ave vs Guimaraes?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.14%.