Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
Alejo Véliz
22'
Vicente Pizarro
(ast. Julián Fernández)
39'
Ángel Di María
(ast. Giovanni Cantizano)
71'
Marco Rubén
(ast. Giovanni Cantizano)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 65% win probability (draw 23%, UCV 10%). The final result was Rosario Central 4–0 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Rosario Central have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UCV.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.96
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
0
13
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
21'
Kendrys Silva
⚽Alejo Véliz
22'
33'
35'
Jovanny Bolívar
⚽Vicente Pizarro
· ast. Julián Fernández
39'
Facundo Mallo
/ Ignacio Ovando
46'
Enzo Copetti
/ Enzo Giménez
46'
56'
Daniel De Sousa
/
Vicente Rodríguez
57'
Adrián Martínez
Julián Fernández
/ Giovanni Cantizano
63'
65'
Ruben Ramirez
/
Adrián Martínez
⚽Ángel Di María
· ast. Giovanni Cantizano
71'
Alejo Véliz
/ Marco Rubén
72'
76'
Kendry Mendoza
/
Alexander Gonzalez
76'
Maicol Ruiz
/
Ruben Ramirez
Ángel Di María
/ Jaminton Campaz
77'
Giovanni Cantizano
85'
⚽Marco Rubén
· ast. Giovanni Cantizano
88'
90'+1
Agustín Sández
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
65.87%
Rosario ←
23.59%
X
10.54%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central)
65.87%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.96
+1.46
0.40
0.28
-0.12
Rosario Central dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
J. Ledesma
G
J. Ledesma
G
3
A. Sandez
D
A. Sandez
D
13
G. Ávila
D
G. Ávila
D
15
F. Mallo
45'
D
F. Mallo
45'
D
32
E. Coronel
D
E. Coronel
D
20
V. Pizarro
1 ⚽
M
V. Pizarro
1 ⚽
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
18
J. Fernández
1 👟
63'
M
J. Fernández
1 👟
63'
M
11
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
77'
M
Á. Di María
1 ⚽
77'
M
9
Alejo Véliz
1 ⚽
72'
F
Alejo Véliz
1 ⚽
72'
F
22
E. Copetti
45'
F
E. Copetti
45'
F
Bench
33
A. Soto
D
A. Soto
D
2
C. Quintana
D
C. Quintana
D
16
E. Giménez
45'
M
E. Giménez
45'
M
42
E. Veron
D
E. Veron
D
31
F. Navarro
M
F. Navarro
M
26
G. Cantizano
2 👟
27'
F
G. Cantizano
2 👟
27'
F
28
G. Fernández
M
G. Fernández
M
46
Ignacio Ovando
45'
D
Ignacio Ovando
45'
D
1
J. Broun
G
J. Broun
G
8
J. Campaz
13'
M
J. Campaz
13'
M
47
Luca Raffin
D
Luca Raffin
D
29
M. Ruben
1 ⚽
18'
F
M. Ruben
1 ⚽
18'
F
13
G. Schiavone
G
27
D. Carrillo
D
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
5
Adrián Martínez
65'
D
Adrián Martínez
65'
D
2
K. Silva
D
6
F. Solé
M
30
A. González
76'
M
7
J. Cuesta
M
J. Cuesta
M
17
V. Rodríguez
56'
M
8
J. Zapata
M
11
J. Bolívar
F
J. Bolívar
F
Bench
57
C. Cermeño
M
12
C. González
G
21
C. Ortiz
F
16
D. De Sousa
34'
F
14
Kendry Mendoza
14'
M
Kendry Mendoza
14'
M
1
L. Morales
G
L. Morales
G
28
M. Ruiz
14'
D
3
R. Ramírez
11'
D
R. Ramírez
11'
D
4
W. Velásquez
D
24
Y. Cumaná
D
Best on the pitch
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 63 pass
G. Cantizano
F · Rosario
8.00
2 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
J. Fernández
M · Rosario
7.90
1 👟
· 32 pass
G. Ávila
D · Rosario
7.70
1 shots
· 86 pass
V. Pizarro
M · Rosario
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
7.50
1 shots
· 89 pass
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ledesma | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sandez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Ávila | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Mallo | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Coronel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Pizarro | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 63 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 77 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 63 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 72 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 45 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cantizano | F | 27 | 8.00 | — | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruben | F | 18 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Schiavone | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D. Carrillo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Alfonso Simarra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Martínez | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Silva | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Solé | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| V. Rodríguez | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. De Sousa | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Kendry Mendoza | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ruiz | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Ramírez | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs UCV?
The final score was Rosario Central 4–0 UCV.
What did the model predict before Rosario Central vs UCV?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Rosario Central win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an UCV win.