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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 5 May 20, 2026 00:00
Rosario Central
#2 · 13 pts
4 – 0
Final score
UCV
#3 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rosario Central
Alejo Véliz 22'
Vicente Pizarro (ast. Julián Fernández) 39'
Ángel Di María (ast. Giovanni Cantizano) 71'
Marco Rubén (ast. Giovanni Cantizano) 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 65% win probability (draw 23%, UCV 10%). The final result was Rosario Central 4–0 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Rosario Central have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UCV.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.96
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
0
13
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
21'
Kendrys Silva
⚽Alejo Véliz
22'
33'
35'
Jovanny Bolívar
⚽Vicente Pizarro · ast. Julián Fernández
39'
↕ Facundo Mallo / Ignacio Ovando
46'
↕ Enzo Copetti / Enzo Giménez
46'
56'
Daniel De Sousa / Vicente Rodríguez ↕
57'
Adrián Martínez
↕ Julián Fernández / Giovanni Cantizano
63'
65'
Ruben Ramirez / Adrián Martínez ↕
⚽Ángel Di María · ast. Giovanni Cantizano
71'
↕ Alejo Véliz / Marco Rubén
72'
76'
Kendry Mendoza / Alexander Gonzalez ↕
76'
Maicol Ruiz / Ruben Ramirez ↕
↕ Ángel Di María / Jaminton Campaz
77'
Giovanni Cantizano
85'
⚽Marco Rubén · ast. Giovanni Cantizano
88'
90'+1
Agustín Sández
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
65.87%
Rosario ←
23.59%
X
10.54%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central) 65.87% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rosario
1.50
2.96
+1.46
UCV
0.40
0.28
-0.12
Rosario Central dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 6 13
2 Rosario Central Rosario Central 6 13
3 UCV UCV 6 9
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 6 0
Lineups
Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-2-2-2
23 Jeremías Ledesma Jeremías Ledesma G 7.20
3 A. Sandez A. Sandez D 7.20
13 Gastón Ávila Gastón Ávila D 7.70
15 Facundo Mallo Facundo Mallo 45' D 7.30
32 Emanuel Coronel Emanuel Coronel D 6.90
20 Vicente Pizarro Vicente Pizarro 1 ⚽ M 7.60
5 F. Ibarra F. Ibarra M 7.50
18 Julián Fernández Julián Fernández 1 👟 63' M 7.90
11 Á. Di María Á. Di María 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.90
9 Alejo Véliz Alejo Véliz 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.90
22 E. Copetti E. Copetti 45' F 5.30
Bench
33 Alexis Soto Alexis Soto D
2 Carlos Quintana Carlos Quintana D
42 Elías Verón Elías Verón D
16 Enzo Giménez Enzo Giménez 45' M 6.70
31 Federico Navarro Federico Navarro M
26 Giovanni Cantizano Giovanni Cantizano 2 👟 27' F 8.00
46 Ignacio Ovando Ignacio Ovando 45' D 7.00
8 Jaminton Campaz Jaminton Campaz 13' M 6.90
1 Jorge Broun Jorge Broun G
47 Luca Raffin Luca Raffin D
29 Marco Rubén Marco Rubén 1 ⚽ 18' F 6.90
28 Pol Fernández Pol Fernández M
UCV UCV 4-2-3-1
13 Giancarlo Schiavone Giancarlo Schiavone G 6.00
27 Daniel Carrillo Daniel Carrillo D 6.20
19 Alfonso Simarra Alfonso Simarra D 6.20
5 Adrián Martínez Adrián Martínez 65' D 6.30
2 K. Silva K. Silva D 5.90
6 Francisco Solé Francisco Solé M 6.90
30 Alexander Gonzalez Alexander Gonzalez 76' M 6.70
7 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta M 6.70
17 Vicente Rodríguez Vicente Rodríguez 56' M 6.60
8 Juan Camilo Zapata Juan Camilo Zapata M 6.00
11 J. Bolívar J. Bolívar F 6.50
Bench
57 Carlos Cermeño Carlos Cermeño M
12 Carlos González Carlos González G
21 Charlis Ortíz Charlis Ortíz F
16 Daniel De Sousa Daniel De Sousa 34' F 6.70
14 Kendry Mendoza Kendry Mendoza 14' M 6.30
1 Lautaro Morales Lautaro Morales G
28 Maicol Ruiz Maicol Ruiz 14' D 6.30
3 Ruben Ramirez Ruben Ramirez 11' D 6.30
4 Williams Velásquez Williams Velásquez D
24 Yohan Cumana Yohan Cumana D
Best on the pitch
Á. Di María
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 63 pass
Giovanni Cantizano
Giovanni Cantizano
F · Rosario
8.00
2 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
Julián Fernández
Julián Fernández
M · Rosario
7.90
1 👟
· 32 pass
Gastón Ávila
Gastón Ávila
D · Rosario
7.70
1 shots · 86 pass
Vicente Pizarro
Vicente Pizarro
M · Rosario
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
F. Ibarra
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
7.50
1 shots · 89 pass
Rosario Central Rosario Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jeremías Ledesma G 90 7.20 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
A. Sandez D 90 7.20 — — — 53 50% 1 1 —
Gastón Ávila D 90 7.70 — — 1 86 77% 1 — —
Facundo Mallo D 45 7.30 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
Emanuel Coronel D 90 6.90 — — 1 56 49% 2 — —
Vicente Pizarro M 90 7.60 1 — 1 68 65% 2 — —
F. Ibarra M 90 7.50 — — 1 89 82% 2 — —
Julián Fernández M 63 7.90 — 1 — 32 29% — — —
Á. Di María M 77 8.90 1 — 2 63 57% 1 — —
Alejo Véliz F 72 6.90 1 — 1 16 14% — — —
E. Copetti F 45 5.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Enzo Giménez M 45 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Giovanni Cantizano F 27 8.00 — 2 2 16 13% — 1 —
Ignacio Ovando D 45 7.00 — — 1 36 34% — — —
Jaminton Campaz M 13 6.90 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Marco Rubén F 18 6.90 1 — 2 2 2% 1 — —
UCV UCV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Giancarlo Schiavone G 90 6.00 — — — 35 20% — — —
Daniel Carrillo D 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% 3 — —
Alfonso Simarra D 90 6.20 — — — 36 34% 2 — —
Adrián Martínez D 65 6.30 — — 1 21 16% 3 1 —
K. Silva D 90 5.90 — — 1 36 29% 1 1 —
Francisco Solé M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 39% 4 — —
Alexander Gonzalez M 76 6.70 — — — 22 20% 2 — —
J. Cuesta M 90 6.70 — — 2 29 25% — — —
Vicente Rodríguez M 56 6.60 — — — 21 16% 4 — —
Juan Camilo Zapata M 90 6.00 — — 1 18 9% 1 — —
J. Bolívar F 90 6.50 — — — 10 9% 2 1 —
Daniel De Sousa F 34 6.70 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
Kendry Mendoza M 14 6.30 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Maicol Ruiz D 14 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ruben Ramirez D 11 6.30 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs UCV?
The final score was Rosario Central 4–0 UCV.
What did the model predict before Rosario Central vs UCV?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Rosario Central win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an UCV win.