League One
· Regular Season - 40
April 21, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
8'
(ast. S. Morris)
K. Palmer
44'
(ast. S. Morris)
K. Palmer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Rotherham 17%). The final result was Rotherham 0–2 Luton. In 1 previous meetings, Rotherham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Luton.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
6
23
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
ast. S. Morris ·
K. Palmer⚽
J. Clarke
43'
44'
ast. S. Morris ·
K. Palmer⚽
C. Lee
/ D. Yearwood
46'
61'
J. Richards
/
S. Morris
61'
G. Kodua
/
D. van den Berg
J. Clarke
/ J. Holmes
62'
A. Martha
/ D. Hall
62'
73'
A. Al Hamadi
/
N. Wells
74'
G. Saville
/
L. Walsh
86'
S. Sandal
/
E. Lawrence
88'
H. Odoffin
90'+1
J. Keeley
Pre-match prediction
17.04%
Rotherham
20.63%
X
62.33%
Luton ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
62.33%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
—
—
2.02
—
—
Lineups
13
G
15
J. Baptiste
D
J. Baptiste
D
3
D
36
Emmanuel Adegboyega
D
Emmanuel Adegboyega
D
2
Joe Rafferty
D
Joe Rafferty
D
51
45'
M
44
Daniel Gore
M
Daniel Gore
M
24
H. Gray
M
H. Gray
M
37
62'
M
11
A. Martha
62'
M
A. Martha
62'
M
10
S. Nombe
F
S. Nombe
F
Bench
22
Denzel Hall
28'
D
Denzel Hall
28'
D
16
D. Yearwood
45'
M
29
G. Biancheri
F
23
J. Holmes
28'
F
24
Joshua Keeley
G
Joshua Keeley
G
38
D
3
K. Naismith
D
K. Naismith
D
16
H. Odoffin
D
H. Odoffin
D
17
N. Lonwijk
D
N. Lonwijk
D
8
L. Walsh
74'
M
L. Walsh
74'
M
6
D. van den Berg
61'
M
D. van den Berg
61'
M
32
Emilio Lawrence
86'
M
Emilio Lawrence
86'
M
54
K. Palmer
2 ⚽
M
K. Palmer
2 ⚽
M
14
S. Morris
2 👟
61'
M
S. Morris
2 👟
61'
M
21
N. Wells
73'
F
N. Wells
73'
F
Bench
12
Ali Al Hamadi
17'
F
Ali Al Hamadi
17'
F
27
J. Richards
29'
M
J. Richards
29'
M
Best on the pitch
K. Palmer
M · Luton
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
L. Walsh
M · Luton
7.70
1 shots
· 66 pass
N. Lonwijk
D · Luton
7.70
· 54 pass
K. Naismith
D · Luton
7.60
· 111 pass
H. Odoffin
D · Luton
7.30
· 77 pass
D · Luton
7.30
· 53 pass
Rotherham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| J. Baptiste | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Adegboyega | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Joe Rafferty | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — | |
| Daniel Gore | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Gray | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | 1 | — | |
| A. Martha | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nombe | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Denzel Hall | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yearwood | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Holmes | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| K. Naismith | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 111 | 95% | — | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Lonwijk | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 74 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Emilio Lawrence | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Palmer | M | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Morris | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hamadi | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rotherham vs Luton?
The final score was Rotherham 0–2 Luton.
What did the model predict before Rotherham vs Luton?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Rotherham win, 20% to a draw, and 62% to an Luton win.