League One
· Regular Season - 40
April 21, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
8'
(ast. S. Morris)
K. Palmer
44'
(ast. S. Morris)
K. Palmer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Rotherham 17%). The final result was Rotherham 0–2 Luton. In 1 previous meetings, Rotherham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Luton.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
6
23
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
ast. S. Morris ·
K. Palmer⚽
J. Clarke
43'
44'
ast. S. Morris ·
K. Palmer⚽
C. Lee
/ D. Yearwood
46'
61'
J. Richards
/
S. Morris
61'
G. Kodua
/
D. van den Berg
J. Clarke
/ J. Holmes
62'
A. Martha
/ D. Hall
62'
73'
A. Al Hamadi
/
N. Wells
74'
G. Saville
/
L. Walsh
86'
S. Sandal
/
E. Lawrence
88'
H. Odoffin
90'+1
J. Keeley
Pre-match prediction
17.04%
Rotherham
20.63%
X
62.33%
Luton ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
62.33%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
—
—
2.02
—
—
Lineups
13
G
15
J. Baptiste
D
J. Baptiste
D
3
D
36
E. Adegboyega
D
2
J. Rafferty
D
51
45'
M
44
Daniel Gore
M
24
H. Gray
M
37
62'
M
11
A. Martha
62'
M
A. Martha
62'
M
10
S. Nombe
F
S. Nombe
F
Bench
22
D. Hall
28'
D
16
D. Yearwood
45'
M
29
G. Biancheri
F
23
J. Holmes
28'
F
24
Josh Keeley
G
Josh Keeley
G
38
D
3
Kal Naismith
D
16
H. Odoffin
D
17
N. Lonwijk
D
8
L. Walsh
74'
M
L. Walsh
74'
M
6
D. van den Berg
61'
M
32
E. Lawrence
86'
M
54
Kasey Palmer
2 ⚽
M
14
S. Morris
2 👟
61'
M
21
N. Wells
73'
F
Bench
12
Ali Al-Hamadi
17'
F
Ali Al-Hamadi
17'
F
27
J. Richards
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Kasey Palmer
M · Luton
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
L. Walsh
M · Luton
7.70
1 shots
· 66 pass
N. Lonwijk
D · Luton
7.70
· 54 pass
Kal Naismith
D · Luton
7.60
· 111 pass
H. Odoffin
D · Luton
7.30
· 77 pass
D · Luton
7.30
· 53 pass
Rotherham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| J. Baptiste | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Adegboyega | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rafferty | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — | |
| Daniel Gore | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Gray | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | 1 | — | |
| A. Martha | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nombe | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hall | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yearwood | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Holmes | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Keeley | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kal Naismith | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 111 | 95% | — | — | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Lonwijk | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 74 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Lawrence | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kasey Palmer | M | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Morris | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Hamadi | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Richards | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rotherham vs Luton?
The final score was Rotherham 0–2 Luton.
What did the model predict before Rotherham vs Luton?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Rotherham win, 20% to a draw, and 62% to an Luton win.