Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
November 08, 2026 04:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.0%
Win
Sacramento Republic
20.62%
Draw
21.38%
Win
El Paso Locomotive
2.15
1.22
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Sacramento Republic
58.0%
Probability
69.0%
1X2 accuracy · 71 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.71%)
1X2 Result
✓ 69.0% hit rate (71 picks)
1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Double Chance
✓ 88.7% hit rate (71 picks)
1X
79%
X2
42%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sacramento Republic a 58% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 21% for El Paso Locomotive. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sacramento Republic and 1.2 for El Paso Locomotive (total 3.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.71% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for El Paso Locomotive.
Season Stats
7W
7D
1L
10W
1D
4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
53%
53%
BTTS
53%
40%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in USL Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
7W
3D
0L
· at home
5W
1D
4L
· away
1.9
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.1
70%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sacramento Republic
Attack
41
Defence
75
Form
65
El Paso Locomotive
Attack
33
Defence
69
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
The model gives Sacramento Republic a 58% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 21% for an El Paso Locomotive win.
How many goals are expected in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Expected goals: Sacramento Republic 2.2, El Paso Locomotive 1.2 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.71%.