Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 24, 2026 02:30
H. Rodallega
(ast. N. Bustos)
30'
F. Fagundez
(ast. C. Mafla)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Caracas FC 24%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–0 Caracas FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
0.82
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
0
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
2
17
Tackles
8
Match Events
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. N. Bustos
30'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
62'
O. Fernandez
/ M. Lovera
62'
66'
A. Villarreal
/
W. Correa
67'
J. De Santis
/
S. Gonzalez
J. Obrian
/ A. Zapata
77'
J. Angulo
/ C. Mafla
78'
82'
C. Vegas
/
Robert Hernandez
83'
A. Figueroa
/
M. Covea
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
84'
⚽F. Fagundez
· ast. C. Mafla
84'
Pre-match prediction
47.98%
Santa ←
27.46%
X
24.57%
Caracas
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
47.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
0.82
-1.11
0.90
0.52
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 0.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
24
Jeison Angulo
78'
D
Jeison Angulo
78'
D
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
D
Helibelton Palacios
D
16
Daniel Torres
M
Daniel Torres
M
6
Kilian Toscano
62'
M
Kilian Toscano
62'
M
8
Omar Fernández
62'
M
Omar Fernández
62'
M
19
Nahuel Bustos
1 👟
84'
M
Nahuel Bustos
1 👟
84'
M
77
Jader Obrian
78'
M
Jader Obrian
78'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
17'
M
Alexis Zapata
17'
M
32
Christian Mafla
1 👟
17'
D
Christian Mafla
1 👟
17'
D
9
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
11'
F
Franco Fagúndez
1 ⚽
11'
F
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
7
Jhojan Torres
33'
F
Jhojan Torres
33'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
F
Luis Angel Palacios
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
4
Mateo Puerta
D
Mateo Puerta
D
17
Maximiliano Lovera
33'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
33'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
20
Yilmar Velázquez
D
Yilmar Velázquez
D
1
Frankarlos Benítez
G
Frankarlos Benítez
G
13
Jesus Yendis
D
Jesus Yendis
D
14
F. La Mantia
D
F. La Mantia
D
4
Jesús Quintero
D
Jesús Quintero
D
2
Eduardo Fereira
D
Eduardo Fereira
D
8
Irving Gudiño
M
Irving Gudiño
M
15
Christian Larotonda
M
Christian Larotonda
M
7
Robert Hernández
82'
M
Robert Hernández
82'
M
10
Michael Covea
82'
M
Michael Covea
82'
M
33
Wilfred Correa Sanmartín
66'
M
Wilfred Correa Sanmartín
66'
M
27
Sebastián González
67'
F
Sebastián González
67'
F
Bench
39
Alejandro Villareal
29'
F
Alejandro Villareal
29'
F
22
Angel Figueroa
13'
M
Angel Figueroa
13'
M
41
Ángel López
D
Ángel López
D
30
Aytor Herrera
D
Aytor Herrera
D
37
Charly Vegas
13'
F
Charly Vegas
13'
F
9
Jeriel De Santis
28'
F
Jeriel De Santis
28'
F
12
Juan Vegas
G
Juan Vegas
G
17
Lucciano Reinoso
F
Lucciano Reinoso
F
3
Luigi Pagano
D
Luigi Pagano
D
20
Luis Maestre
M
Luis Maestre
M
11
Mauricio Márquez
F
Mauricio Márquez
F
5
Miguel Vegas
M
Miguel Vegas
M
Best on the pitch
Helibelton Palacios
D · Santa
7.70
· 45 pass
Franco Fagúndez
F · Santa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Emanuel Olivera
D · Santa
7.50
· 51 pass
Nahuel Bustos
M · Santa
7.50
1 👟
· 38 pass
Daniel Torres
M · Santa
7.30
· 79 pass
Hugo Rodallega
F · Santa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Victor Moreno | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar Fernández | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Bustos | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 11 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Caracas FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankarlos Benítez | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jesus Yendis | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. La Mantia | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Quintero | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Fereira | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Irving Gudiño | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Larotonda | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Hernández | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Covea | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Wilfred Correa Sanmartín | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián González | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Villareal | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Angel Figueroa | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Charly Vegas | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeriel De Santis | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–0 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Santa Fe win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Caracas FC win.