Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 24, 2026 02:30
H. Rodallega
(ast. N. Bustos)
30'
F. Fagundez
(ast. C. Mafla)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Fe a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Caracas FC 24%). The final result was Santa Fe 2–0 Caracas FC. In 1 previous meetings, Santa Fe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Caracas FC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
0.82
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
0
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
2
17
Tackles
8
Match Events
⚽H. Rodallega
· ast. N. Bustos
30'
K. D. Toscano Bassa
/ J. Torres
62'
O. Fernandez
/ M. Lovera
62'
66'
A. Villarreal
/
W. Correa
67'
J. De Santis
/
S. Gonzalez
J. Obrian
/ A. Zapata
77'
J. Angulo
/ C. Mafla
78'
82'
C. Vegas
/
Robert Hernandez
83'
A. Figueroa
/
M. Covea
N. Bustos
/ F. Fagundez
84'
⚽F. Fagundez
· ast. C. Mafla
84'
Pre-match prediction
47.98%
Santa ←
27.46%
X
24.57%
Caracas
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Fe)
47.98%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
0.82
-1.11
0.90
0.52
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 0.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
24
Jeison Angulo
78'
D
Jeison Angulo
78'
D
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
D
Helibelton Palacios
D
16
Daniel Torres
M
Daniel Torres
M
6
Kilian Toscano
62'
M
Kilian Toscano
62'
M
8
Omar Fernández
62'
M
Omar Fernández
62'
M
19
N. Bustos
1 👟
84'
M
N. Bustos
1 👟
84'
M
77
Jader Obrian
78'
M
Jader Obrian
78'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Hugo Rodallega
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
17'
M
Alexis Zapata
17'
M
32
Christian Mafla
1 👟
17'
D
Christian Mafla
1 👟
17'
D
9
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
11'
F
F. Fagúndez
1 ⚽
11'
F
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
7
Jhojan Torres
33'
F
Jhojan Torres
33'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
F
Luis Angel Palacios
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
4
Mateo Puerta
D
Mateo Puerta
D
17
Maximiliano Lovera
33'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
33'
F
12
Weibmar Asprilla
G
Weibmar Asprilla
G
20
Yilmar Velázquez
D
Yilmar Velázquez
D
1
F. Benítez
G
13
J. Yendis
D
14
F. La Mantia
D
F. La Mantia
D
4
J. Quintero
D
2
E. Fereira
D
8
I. Gudiño
M
15
C. Larotonda
M
7
R. Hernández
82'
M
10
M. Covea
82'
M
33
W. Correa
66'
M
27
S. Gonzalez
67'
F
Bench
22
Á. Figueroa
13'
M
30
A. Herrera
D
41
A. Lopez
D
39
A. Villarreal
29'
F
37
C. Vegas
13'
F
9
J. De Santis
28'
F
12
Juan Daniel Vegas Polanco
G
3
L. Pagano
D
17
L. Reinoso
F
20
Luis Maestre
M
Luis Maestre
M
11
Mauricio Márquez
F
Mauricio Márquez
F
5
M. Vegas
M
Best on the pitch
Helibelton Palacios
D · Santa
7.70
· 45 pass
F. Fagúndez
F · Santa
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Emanuel Olivera
D · Santa
7.50
· 51 pass
N. Bustos
M · Santa
7.50
1 👟
· 38 pass
Daniel Torres
M · Santa
7.30
· 79 pass
Hugo Rodallega
F · Santa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Victor Moreno | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar Fernández | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 11 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Caracas FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Benítez | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Yendis | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. La Mantia | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Fereira | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gudiño | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Larotonda | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hernández | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Covea | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| W. Correa | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Gonzalez | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Á. Figueroa | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Villarreal | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Vegas | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| J. De Santis | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Santa Fe 2–0 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Santa Fe vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Santa Fe win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Caracas FC win.