Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 00:00
Luciano
(ast. Jonathan Calleri)
8'
Artur
(ast. Jonathan Calleri)
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 43% win probability (draw 32%, O'Higgins 23%). The final result was Sao Paulo 2–0 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Sao Paulo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for O'Higgins.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
1.06
Actual xG
1.39
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
7
17
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽Luciano
· ast. Jonathan Calleri
8'
15'
Felipe Ogaz
Jonathan Calleri
17'
Marcos Antônio
/ Danielzinho
36'
44'
Luis Pavez Munoz
45'+2
Juan Leiva
Luciano
46'
⚽Artur
· ast. Jonathan Calleri
55'
58'
Martín Maturana
/
Bryan Rabello
60'
Martín Sarrafiore
Damián Bobadilla
65'
70'
Thiago Vecino
/
Arnaldo Castillo
71'
Thiago Vecino
Lucca
/ Tetê
76'
Damián Bobadilla
/ Cauly
76'
Luciano
/ Gonzalo Tapia
80'
Jonathan Calleri
/ Luan Santos
81'
85'
Gabriel Pinto
/
Felipe Ogaz
85'
Cristian Morales
/
Felipe Faúndez
Pre-match prediction
43.69%
Sao ←
32.33%
X
23.99%
O'Higgins
we assigned to the actual result (Sao Paulo)
43.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
1.06
-0.08
0.81
1.39
+0.58
O'Higgins dominated by xG (1.39 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
13
E. Díaz
D
E. Díaz
D
28
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
2
R. Tolói
D
R. Tolói
D
19
Lucas Ramon
D
Lucas Ramon
D
8
Marcos Antônio
36'
M
Marcos Antônio
36'
M
16
D. Bobadilla
76'
M
D. Bobadilla
76'
M
45
Lucca
76'
M
Lucca
76'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
80'
M
37
Artur
1 ⚽
M
Artur
1 ⚽
M
9
J. Calleri
2 👟
81'
F
J. Calleri
2 👟
81'
F
Bench
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
19'
M
Cauly
19'
M
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
94
Danielzinho
59'
M
Danielzinho
59'
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
15'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
15'
F
33
Luan Santos
14'
M
Luan Santos
14'
M
34
Tetê
19'
F
Tetê
19'
F
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
31
O. Carabalí
G
O. Carabalí
G
20
L. Díaz
D
L. Díaz
D
6
L. Pavez
D
L. Pavez
D
21
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
85'
D
Felipe Faúndez
85'
D
8
F. Ogaz
85'
M
F. Ogaz
85'
M
7
M. Sarrafiore
M
M. Sarrafiore
M
11
J. Leiva
M
J. Leiva
M
10
Bryan Rabello
58'
M
Bryan Rabello
58'
M
24
F. González
M
F. González
M
9
A. Castillo
70'
F
A. Castillo
70'
F
Bench
14
Martín Maturana
37'
M
Martín Maturana
37'
M
32
T. Vecino
25'
F
T. Vecino
25'
F
Best on the pitch
Artur
M · Sao
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
A. Franco
D · Sao
8.20
· 64 pass
Rafael
G · Sao
7.70
· 22 pass
R. Tolói
D · Sao
7.50
2 shots
· 38 pass
Luciano
M · Sao
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Danielzinho
M · Sao
7.30
· 44 pass
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Tolói | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Lucca | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Artur | M | 95 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Cauly | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Carabalí | G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pavez | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Ogaz | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Sarrafiore | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Rabello | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. González | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Castillo | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Martín Maturana | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Sao Paulo 2–0 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Sao Paulo vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Sao Paulo win, 32% to a draw, and 23% to an O'Higgins win.