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Sarpsborg 08 FF - Valerenga

Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 10.5°C 💨 16 km/h · Sarpsborg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.09%
Win
Sarpsborg 08 FF
20.48%
Draw
29.43%
Win
Valerenga
3.0
Expected xG
2.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.57%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 20%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 50%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 90%
✓ 95.9% hit rate (98 picks)
Over 2.5 79%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 50% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Valerenga. Expected goals are 3.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 2.2 for Valerenga (total 5.2), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.57% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Valerenga.

Season Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FF
2W 1D 1L
Valerenga
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
4.0
1.5
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Sarpsborg 08 FF Valerenga →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.2% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
5 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Recent form

W Follo 0–2
W Sparta Sarpsborg 0–2
L Fredrikstad 2–1
D Kjelsås 4–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
W Skeid 1–4
W Christiania BK 2–7
L Fredrikstad 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
48
Defence
63
Form
52
Valerenga Valerenga
Attack
53
Defence
51
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
The model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 50% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 29% for an Valerenga win.
How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Expected goals: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3.0, Valerenga 2.2 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.57%.