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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 23:30
SC Braga
#4 · 58 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Famalicao
#5 · 53 pts
F. Navarro (ast. Vitor Carvalho) 2'
R. Horta 90'+9 (pen.)
40' (ast. P. Santos) Gil Dias
65' (ast. Gil Dias) Rafa Soares

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Famalicao 25%). The final result was SC Braga 2–2 Famalicao. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Famalicao.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.59
Actual xG
0.46
1
Saves
2
69%
Possession
31%
5
Corners
2
8
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽F. Navarro · ast. Vitor Carvalho
2'
40'
ast. P. Santos · Gil Dias⚽
J. Moutinho
50'
65'
ast. Gil Dias · Rafa Soares⚽
68'
Gil Dias
↕ J. Moutinho / D. E. Tiknaz
73'
↕ Vitor Carvalho / M. Dorgeles
73'
76'
L. Realpe / P. Santos ↕
78'
I. Ba
↕ F. Navarro / Gorby
78'
83'
Garcia / Sorriso ↕
↕ F. Grillitsch / A. El Ouazzani
86'
89'
S. Elisor
G. Lagerbielke
89'
89'
U. Abubakar / S. Elisor ↕
90'+1
R. Pinheiro
90'+6
J. De Haas
⚽R. Horta (pen.)
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
49.9%
SC
24.36%
X ←
25.74%
Famalicao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
1.68
1.59
-0.09
Famalicao
1.20
0.46
-0.74
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Horníček Lukáš Horníček G 6.30
17 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo D 6.50
6 Vítor Carvalho Vítor Carvalho 1 👟 73' D 6.70
14 Gustaf Lagerbielke Gustaf Lagerbielke D 6.90
5 Leonardo Lelo Leonardo Lelo M 6.20
27
F. Grillitsch 86' M 7.00
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho 73' M 6.70
2 Víctor Gómez Víctor Gómez M 7.30
21 Ricardo Horta Ricardo Horta 1 ⚽ F 7.20
18 Pau Victor Pau Victor F 6.60
39 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.60
Bench
9 Amine El Ouazzani Amine El Ouazzani 14' F 6.30
34 Demir Ege Tıknaz Demir Ege Tıknaz 17' M 7.00
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby Jean-Baptiste Gorby 12' M 6.60
90 Luís Pinto Luís Pinto M
20 Mario Dorgeles Mario Dorgeles 17' M 6.60
15 Paulo Oliveira Paulo Oliveira D
Famalicao Famalicao 4-3-3
25 Lazar Carević Lazar Carević G 6.30
5 Rafa Soares Rafa Soares 1 ⚽ D 6.60
16 Justin De Haas Justin De Haas D 5.90
55
I. Ba D 6.20
17
R. Pinheiro D 6.20
14 Mathias De Amorim Mathias De Amorim M 6.90
6 Tom Van De Looi Tom Van De Looi M 6.50
80 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 1 👟 76' M 6.90
7 Sorriso Sorriso 82' F 6.00
12 Simon Elisor Simon Elisor 89' F 6.50
23 Gil Dias Gil Dias 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
9 Umar Abubakar Umar Abubakar 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Gil Dias
Gil Dias
F · Famalicao
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 24 pass
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
F · SC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez
M · SC
7.30
· 89 pass
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta
F · SC
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M · SC
7.00
1 shots · 21 pass
F. Grillitsch
M · SC
7.00
1 shots · 83 pass
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Horníček G 90 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
Gabriel Moscardo D 90 6.50 — — 1 80 77% 1 — —
Vítor Carvalho D 73 6.70 — 1 1 86 82% 1 — —
Gustaf Lagerbielke D 90 6.90 — — 2 109 101% 1 1 —
Leonardo Lelo M 90 6.20 — — — 47 41% — — —
F. Grillitsch M 86 7.00 — — 1 83 72% 1 — —
João Moutinho M 73 6.70 — — — 66 61% 1 1 —
Víctor Gómez M 90 7.30 — — — 89 75% — — —
Ricardo Horta F 90 7.20 1 — 1 44 38% — — —
Pau Victor F 90 6.60 — — — 42 39% 2 — —
Fran Navarro F 78 7.60 1 — 1 18 15% — — —
Amine El Ouazzani F 14 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Demir Ege Tıknaz M 17 7.00 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 12 6.60 — — — 25 23% — — —
Mario Dorgeles M 17 6.60 — — — 20 18% — — —
Famalicao Famalicao — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lazar Carević G 90 6.30 — — — 35 33% — — —
Rafa Soares D 90 6.60 1 — 1 33 21% — — —
Justin De Haas D 90 5.90 — — — 61 53% 3 1 —
I. Ba D 90 6.20 — — — 43 38% 3 1 —
R. Pinheiro D 90 6.20 — — — 28 24% — 1 —
Mathias De Amorim M 90 6.90 — — — 26 22% 7 — —
Tom Van De Looi M 90 6.50 — — 2 36 29% — — —
Pedro Santos M 76 6.90 — 1 — 22 16% 1 — —
Sorriso F 82 6.00 — — — 17 12% — — —
Simon Elisor F 89 6.50 — — 1 10 7% — 1 —
Gil Dias F 90 8.20 1 1 2 24 15% 2 1 —
Umar Abubakar F 11 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs Famalicao?
The final score was SC Braga 2–2 Famalicao.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs Famalicao?
The model assigned 49% probability to a SC Braga win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Famalicao win.