Europa League
· Quarter-finals
April 08, 2026 18:45
F. Grillitsch
(ast. D. Rodrigues)
5'
(pen.)
61'
Cucho Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Real Betis 24%). The final result was SC Braga 1–1 Real Betis. In 1 previous meetings, SC Braga have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Real Betis.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
6
1.39
Actual xG
1.54
5
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
1
12
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽F. Grillitsch
· ast. D. Rodrigues
5'
7'
11'
S. Amrabat
D. Rodrigues
/ J. Moutinho
18'
S. Niakate
23'
46'
Antony
/
S. Amrabat
57'
M. Roca
Gorby
60'
61'
(pen.)
Cucho Hernandez⚽
63'
S. Altimira
/
A. Fidalgo
63'
N. Deossa
/
M. Roca
67'
Natan
F. Grillitsch
72'
G. Martinez
/ M. Dorgeles
77'
R. Horta
/ F. Navarro
77'
78'
R. Riquelme
/
A. Ezzalzouli
82'
C. Avila
/
Cucho Hernandez
F. Grillitsch
/ D. E. Tiknaz
84'
P. Victor
/ Gabriel Moscardo
84'
Pre-match prediction
49.22%
SC
25.94%
X ←
24.85%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.39
-0.19
1.24
1.54
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
26
B. Arrey-Mbi
D
B. Arrey-Mbi
D
4
S. Niakate
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabri Martínez
77'
M
Gabri Martínez
77'
M
27
F. Grillitsch
1 ⚽
84'
M
F. Grillitsch
1 ⚽
84'
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
2
Víctor Gómez
M
Víctor Gómez
M
50
Diego Rodrigues
1 👟
18'
F
Diego Rodrigues
1 👟
18'
F
21
Ricardo Horta
77'
F
Ricardo Horta
77'
F
18
Pau Victor
84'
F
Pau Victor
84'
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
A. El Ouazzani
F
34
E. Tıknaz
11'
M
E. Tıknaz
11'
M
39
Fran Navarro
13'
F
Fran Navarro
13'
F
17
Gabriel Moscardo
11'
M
Gabriel Moscardo
11'
M
8
João Moutinho
72'
M
João Moutinho
72'
M
5
Leonardo Lelo
D
Leonardo Lelo
D
20
M. Dorgeles
13'
M
M. Dorgeles
13'
M
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
M
Vitor Carvalho
M
25
G
12
R. Rodríguez
D
R. Rodríguez
D
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
5
Marc Bartra
D
Marc Bartra
D
24
Aitor Ruibal
D
Aitor Ruibal
D
21
Marc Roca
63'
M
Marc Roca
63'
M
14
S. Amrabat
45'
M
S. Amrabat
45'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
78'
M
A. Ezzalzouli
78'
M
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
63'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
63'
M
8
Pablo Fornals
M
Pablo Fornals
M
19
C. Hernández
1 ⚽
82'
F
C. Hernández
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
7
Antony
45'
F
Antony
45'
F
2
Héctor Bellerín
D
Héctor Bellerín
D
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
12'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
12'
M
6
Sergi Altimira
27'
M
Sergi Altimira
27'
M
Best on the pitch
F. Grillitsch
M · SC
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 94 pass
C. Hernández
F · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
L. Horníček
G · SC
7.20
· 40 pass
Víctor Gómez
M · SC
7.20
· 62 pass
Ricardo Horta
F · SC
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Marc Bartra
D · Real
7.20
2 shots
· 58 pass
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | — | — | — |
| S. Niakate | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 67% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Grillitsch | M | 84 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 94 | 89% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 92 | 87% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Diego Rodrigues | F | 18 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| R. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marc Bartra | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| Aitor Ruibal | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Marc Roca | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Braga vs Real Betis?
The final score was SC Braga 1–1 Real Betis.
What did the model predict before SC Braga vs Real Betis?
The model assigned 49% probability to a SC Braga win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Real Betis win.