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SC Freiburg - VfL Wolfsburg

DFB Pokal October 28, 2026 18:00 Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
SC Freiburg
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.59%
Win
SC Freiburg
19.91%
Draw
32.5%
Win
VfL Wolfsburg
3.42
Expected xG
3.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–2 (5.47%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 20%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 52%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 90%
✓ 97.5% hit rate (40 picks)
Over 2.5 77%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives SC Freiburg a 47% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 32% for VfL Wolfsburg. Expected goals are 3.4 for SC Freiburg and 3.1 for VfL Wolfsburg (total 6.6), with a 89% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.47% probability. In 2 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Season Stats

SC Freiburg
4W 1D 1L
VfL Wolfsburg
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
4.0
0.7
Conceded
1.3
5.8
Shots OT
9.0
3.8
Corners
9.0
52%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
SC Freiburg
1W 0D 0L · at home
VfL Wolfsburg
1W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
6.0
0.0
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ SC Freiburg VfL Wolfsburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
1 0.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1%
3 0.9% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 3.8% 2.4%
4 0.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.2% 3.3% 2.1%
5 0.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4%

Recent form

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
W Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–5
L VfB Stuttgart 2–1
D Hertha BSC 0–0
W SV Darmstadt 98 2–0
W Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
D Altglienicke 3–3
L Holstein Kiel 0–1
W Hemelingen 0–9
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Attack
52
Defence
59
Form
58
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
Attack
71
Defence
49
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
SC Freiburg
1
Draw
0
VfL Wolfsburg
3 May 2026 Bundesliga 1–1
20 Dec 2025 Bundesliga 4–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model gives SC Freiburg a 47% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 32% for an VfL Wolfsburg win.
How many goals are expected in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Expected goals: SC Freiburg 3.4, VfL Wolfsburg 3.1 (total 6.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 89%.
What is the most likely score in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.47%.