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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 13:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
#3 · 62 pts
4 – 3
Final score
1. FC Magdeburg
#14 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Paderborn 07
F. Bilbija (ast. L. Curda) 19'
F. Bilbija (ast. C. Brackelmann) 29'
F. Bilbija (ast. R. Obermair) 45'
F. Bilbija (ast. S. Klaas) 78'
25' (ast. M. Zukowski) L. Musonda
37' M. Zukowski
59' L. Ulrich
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 58% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg 20%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
9
1.66
Actual xG
0.88
6
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
7
23
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Raphael Obermair
4'
Mattes Hansen
9'
11'
Mateusz Żukowski
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. L. Curda
19'
25'
ast. M. Zukowski · L. Musonda⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. C. Brackelmann
29'
37'
M. Zukowski⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. R. Obermair
45'
↕ M. Hansen / S. Klaas
46'
46'
P. Hercher / R. Tachie ↕
59'
L. Ulrich⚽
↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges
71'
↕ R. Obermair / J. Sticker
72'
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. S. Klaas
78'
79'
A. Nollenberger / B. Atik ↕
79'
D. Stalmach / S. Gnaka ↕
↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala
84'
84'
A. Holmstrom / T. Muller ↕
84'
R. Ghrieb / H. Bockhorn ↕
↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
58.49%
SC ←
21.22%
X
20.3%
1.
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 58.49% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
2.15
1.66
-0.49
1.
1.36
0.88
-0.48
SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34 37
17 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 34 37
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 34 30
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
41
G 7.70
4 Calvin Brackelmann Calvin Brackelmann 1 👟 D 7.90
20 F. Götze F. Götze D 6.00
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller D 5.90
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair 1 👟 72' M 6.30
22 Mattes Hansen Mattes Hansen 45' M 6.50
14 Mika Baur Mika Baur M 6.90
17 L. Curda L. Curda 1 👟 M 6.90
7 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija 4 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller 71' F 7.20
30 Stefano Marino Stefano Marino 84' F 6.90
Bench
3 Jonah Sticker Jonah Sticker 18' D 6.90
10 Kennedy Okpala Kennedy Okpala 11' F 6.30
9 Nick Bätzner Nick Bätzner M
26 Sebastian Klaas Sebastian Klaas 1 👟 45' M 6.90
27 Steffen Tigges Steffen Tigges 19' F 6.20
11 Sven Michel Sven Michel 1' F
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 6.70
19 Lubambo Musonda Lubambo Musonda 1 ⚽ D 6.90
5
T. Muller 84' D 6.20
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.50
7 Herbert Bockhorn Herbert Bockhorn 84' D 6.50
25 Silas Gnaka Silas Gnaka 79' M 7.20
21 Falko Michel Falko Michel M 6.90
8
L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ M 8.00
23 B. Atik B. Atik 79' F 6.90
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.70
18 Richmond Tachie Richmond Tachie 45' F 6.50
Bench
11 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom Alexander Ahl Holmstrom 11' F 6.50
17 Alexander Nollenberger Alexander Nollenberger 11' F 6.70
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 11' M 7.00
24 Jean Hugonet Jean Hugonet M
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch F
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 45' D 5.90
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Bilbija
F. Bilbija
F · SC
10.00
4 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
Calvin Brackelmann
Calvin Brackelmann
D · SC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
M. Żukowski
M. Żukowski
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
G · SC
7.70
· 36 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.50
· 95 pass
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 36 25% — — —
Calvin Brackelmann D 90 7.90 — 1 1 46 38% 8 — —
F. Götze D 90 6.00 — — — 42 40% — — —
T. Scheller D 90 5.90 — — — 28 22% 3 — —
R. Obermair M 72 6.30 — 1 — 24 23% 1 1 —
Mattes Hansen M 45 6.50 — — — 27 24% 1 1 —
Mika Baur M 90 6.90 — — — 46 35% — — —
L. Curda M 90 6.90 — 1 1 24 15% 6 — —
F. Bilbija F 89 10.00 4 — 5 18 13% — — —
Ruben Müller F 71 7.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Stefano Marino F 84 6.90 — — 1 16 11% — — —
Jonah Sticker D 18 6.90 — — — 7 2% 1 — —
Kennedy Okpala F 11 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
Sebastian Klaas M 45 6.90 — 1 — 18 16% 2 — —
Steffen Tigges F 19 6.20 — — — 8 4% — — —
Sven Michel F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 37 31% — — —
Lubambo Musonda D 90 6.90 1 — 2 46 42% — — —
T. Muller D 84 6.20 — — — 71 67% 2 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.50 — — — 95 79% 3 — —
Herbert Bockhorn D 84 6.50 — — 2 40 34% 2 — —
Silas Gnaka M 79 7.20 — — 1 39 37% 1 — —
Falko Michel M 90 6.90 — — — 71 65% 2 — —
L. Ulrich M 90 8.00 1 — 1 32 27% 4 — —
B. Atik F 79 6.90 — — 4 35 29% — — —
M. Żukowski F 90 7.70 1 1 2 16 12% 1 1 —
Richmond Tachie F 45 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom F 11 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Alexander Nollenberger F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 11 7.00 — — — 5 4% 4 — —
Philipp Hercher D 45 5.90 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
R. Ghrieb F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The final score was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg.
What did the model predict before SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model assigned 58% probability to a SC Paderborn 07 win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an 1. FC Magdeburg win.