← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 15:30
SC Paderborn 07
#4 · 59 pts
4 – 3
Final score
1. FC Magdeburg
#12 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Paderborn 07
F. Bilbija (ast. L. Curda) 19'
F. Bilbija (ast. C. Brackelmann) 29'
F. Bilbija (ast. R. Obermair) 45'
F. Bilbija (ast. S. Klaas) 78'
25' (ast. M. Zukowski) L. Musonda
37' M. Zukowski
59' L. Ulrich

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 58% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg 20%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
9
1.66
Actual xG
0.88
6
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
7
23
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Raphael Obermair
4'
Mattes Hansen
9'
11'
Mateusz Żukowski
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. L. Curda
19'
25'
ast. M. Zukowski · L. Musonda⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. C. Brackelmann
29'
37'
M. Zukowski⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. R. Obermair
45'
↕ M. Hansen / S. Klaas
46'
46'
P. Hercher / R. Tachie ↕
59'
L. Ulrich⚽
↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges
71'
↕ R. Obermair / J. Sticker
72'
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. S. Klaas
78'
79'
A. Nollenberger / B. Atik ↕
79'
D. Stalmach / S. Gnaka ↕
↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala
84'
84'
A. Holmstrom / T. Muller ↕
84'
R. Ghrieb / H. Bockhorn ↕
↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
58.49%
SC ←
21.22%
X
20.3%
1.
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 58.49% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
2.15
1.66
-0.49
1.
1.36
0.88
-0.48
SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
41
G 7.70
4
Calvin Brackelmann 1 👟 D 7.90
20
Felix Götze D 6.00
25
Tjark Lasse Scheller D 5.90
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair 1 👟 72' M 6.30
22
Mattes Hansen 45' M 6.50
14
M. Baur M 6.90
17
Laurin Curda 1 👟 M 6.90
7
F. Bilbija 4 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
2
R. Muller 71' F 7.20
30
S. Marino 84' F 6.90
Bench
3
J. Sticker 18' D 6.90
10
Kennedy Okpala 11' F 6.30
9
N. Batzner M
26
S. Klaas 1 👟 45' M 6.90
11
S. Michel 1' F
27
S. Tigges 19' F 6.20
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 6.70
19
L. Musonda 1 ⚽ D 6.90
5
T. Muller 84' D 6.20
16
M. Mathisen D 7.50
7
H. Bockhorn 84' D 6.50
25
S. Gnaka 79' M 7.20
21
Falko Michel M 6.90
8
L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ M 8.00
23
Barış Atik 79' F 6.90
22
Mateusz Żukowski 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.70
18
R. Tachie 45' F 6.50
Bench
11
A. Holmstrom 11' F 6.50
17
A. Nollenberger 11' F 6.70
6
Dariusz Stalmach 11' M 7.00
24
J. Hugonet M
10
Noah Pesch F
27
P. Hercher 45' D 5.90
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Bilbija
F · SC
10.00
4 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
Calvin Brackelmann
D · SC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
Mateusz Żukowski
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
G · SC
7.70
· 36 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.50
· 95 pass
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 36 25% — — —
Calvin Brackelmann D 90 7.90 — 1 1 46 38% 8 — —
Felix Götze D 90 6.00 — — — 42 40% — — —
Tjark Lasse Scheller D 90 5.90 — — — 28 22% 3 — —
R. Obermair M 72 6.30 — 1 — 24 23% 1 1 —
Mattes Hansen M 45 6.50 — — — 27 24% 1 1 —
M. Baur M 90 6.90 — — — 46 35% — — —
Laurin Curda M 90 6.90 — 1 1 24 15% 6 — —
F. Bilbija F 89 10.00 4 — 5 18 13% — — —
R. Muller F 71 7.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
S. Marino F 84 6.90 — — 1 16 11% — — —
J. Sticker D 18 6.90 — — — 7 2% 1 — —
Kennedy Okpala F 11 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
S. Klaas M 45 6.90 — 1 — 18 16% 2 — —
S. Michel F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Tigges F 19 6.20 — — — 8 4% — — —
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 37 31% — — —
L. Musonda D 90 6.90 1 — 2 46 42% — — —
T. Muller D 84 6.20 — — — 71 67% 2 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.50 — — — 95 79% 3 — —
H. Bockhorn D 84 6.50 — — 2 40 34% 2 — —
S. Gnaka M 79 7.20 — — 1 39 37% 1 — —
Falko Michel M 90 6.90 — — — 71 65% 2 — —
L. Ulrich M 90 8.00 1 — 1 32 27% 4 — —
Barış Atik F 79 6.90 — — 4 35 29% — — —
Mateusz Żukowski F 90 7.70 1 1 2 16 12% 1 1 —
R. Tachie F 45 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
A. Holmstrom F 11 6.50 — — — — — — — —
A. Nollenberger F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 11 7.00 — — — 5 4% 4 — —
P. Hercher D 45 5.90 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
R. Ghrieb F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The final score was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg.
What did the model predict before SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model assigned 58% probability to a SC Paderborn 07 win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an 1. FC Magdeburg win.