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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 13:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
4 – 3
Final score
1. FC Magdeburg
#5 · 16 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Paderborn 07
F. Bilbija (ast. L. Curda) 19'
F. Bilbija (ast. C. Brackelmann) 29'
F. Bilbija (ast. R. Obermair) 45'
F. Bilbija (ast. S. Klaas) 78'
25' (ast. M. Zukowski) L. Musonda
37' M. Zukowski
59' L. Ulrich
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 58% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg 20%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
9
1.66
Actual xG
0.88
6
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
7
23
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Raphael Obermair
4'
Mattes Hansen
9'
11'
Mateusz Żukowski
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. L. Curda
19'
25'
ast. M. Zukowski · L. Musonda⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. C. Brackelmann
29'
37'
M. Zukowski⚽
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. R. Obermair
45'
↕ M. Hansen / S. Klaas
46'
46'
P. Hercher / R. Tachie ↕
59'
L. Ulrich⚽
↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges
71'
↕ R. Obermair / J. Sticker
72'
⚽F. Bilbija · ast. S. Klaas
78'
79'
A. Nollenberger / B. Atik ↕
79'
D. Stalmach / S. Gnaka ↕
↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala
84'
84'
A. Holmstrom / T. Muller ↕
84'
R. Ghrieb / H. Bockhorn ↕
↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
58.49%
SC ←
21.22%
X
20.3%
1.
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 58.49% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
2.15
1.66
-0.49
1.
1.36
0.88
-0.48
SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.88). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
41
G 7.70
4 C. Brackelmann C. Brackelmann 1 👟 D 7.90
20 F. Götze F. Götze D 6.00
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller D 5.90
23 R. Obermair R. Obermair 1 👟 72' M 6.30
22 M. Hansen M. Hansen 45' M 6.50
14 M. Baur M. Baur M 6.90
17 L. Curda L. Curda 1 👟 M 6.90
7 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija 4 ⚽ 89' F 10.00
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller 71' F 7.20
30 S. Marino S. Marino 84' F 6.90
Bench
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker Jonah Benedict Sticker 18' D 6.90
10 K. Okpala K. Okpala 11' F 6.30
9 N. Bätzner N. Bätzner M
26 Sebastian Klaas Sebastian Klaas 1 👟 45' M 6.90
11 S. Michel S. Michel 1' F
27 S. Tigges S. Tigges 19' F 6.20
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
1
G 6.70
19
L. Musonda 1 ⚽ D 6.90
5 T. Müller T. Müller 84' D 6.20
16 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.50
7 H. Bockhorn H. Bockhorn 84' D 6.50
25
Silas Gnaka 79' M 7.20
21 F. Michel F. Michel M 6.90
8 L. Ulrich L. Ulrich 1 ⚽ M 8.00
23 B. Atik B. Atik 79' F 6.90
22 M. Żukowski M. Żukowski 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.70
18 R. Tachie R. Tachie 45' F 6.50
Bench
11 A. Ahl-Holmström A. Ahl-Holmström 11' F 6.50
17 A. Nollenberger A. Nollenberger 11' F 6.70
6 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 11' M 7.00
24 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet M
10 Noah Pesch Noah Pesch F
27 Philipp Hercher Philipp Hercher 45' D 5.90
29 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Bilbija
F. Bilbija
F · SC
10.00
4 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
L. Ulrich
L. Ulrich
M · 1.
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
C. Brackelmann
C. Brackelmann
D · SC
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
M. Żukowski
M. Żukowski
F · 1.
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
G · SC
7.70
· 36 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.50
· 95 pass
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 36 25% — — —
C. Brackelmann D 90 7.90 — 1 1 46 38% 8 — —
F. Götze D 90 6.00 — — — 42 40% — — —
T. Scheller D 90 5.90 — — — 28 22% 3 — —
R. Obermair M 72 6.30 — 1 — 24 23% 1 1 —
M. Hansen M 45 6.50 — — — 27 24% 1 1 —
M. Baur M 90 6.90 — — — 46 35% — — —
L. Curda M 90 6.90 — 1 1 24 15% 6 — —
F. Bilbija F 89 10.00 4 — 5 18 13% — — —
Ruben Müller F 71 7.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
S. Marino F 84 6.90 — — 1 16 11% — — —
Jonah Benedict Sticker D 18 6.90 — — — 7 2% 1 — —
K. Okpala F 11 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
Sebastian Klaas M 45 6.90 — 1 — 18 16% 2 — —
S. Michel F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Tigges F 19 6.20 — — — 8 4% — — —
1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 37 31% — — —
L. Musonda D 90 6.90 1 — 2 46 42% — — —
T. Müller D 84 6.20 — — — 71 67% 2 — —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.50 — — — 95 79% 3 — —
H. Bockhorn D 84 6.50 — — 2 40 34% 2 — —
Silas Gnaka M 79 7.20 — — 1 39 37% 1 — —
F. Michel M 90 6.90 — — — 71 65% 2 — —
L. Ulrich M 90 8.00 1 — 1 32 27% 4 — —
B. Atik F 79 6.90 — — 4 35 29% — — —
M. Żukowski F 90 7.70 1 1 2 16 12% 1 1 —
R. Tachie F 45 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
A. Ahl-Holmström F 11 6.50 — — — — — — — —
A. Nollenberger F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 11 7.00 — — — 5 4% 4 — —
Philipp Hercher D 45 5.90 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
R. Ghrieb F 11 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The final score was SC Paderborn 07 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg.
What did the model predict before SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model assigned 58% probability to a SC Paderborn 07 win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an 1. FC Magdeburg win.