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SC Paderborn 07 - VfB Stuttgart

DFB Pokal October 28, 2026 18:00 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
SC Paderborn 07
vs
VfB Stuttgart
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 10.7°C 💨 6 km/h · Paderborn
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.36%
Win
SC Paderborn 07
21.56%
Draw
55.08%
Win
VfB Stuttgart
1.41
Expected xG
2.64
Most likely outcome
VfB Stuttgart
55.08%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.79%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 22%
2 55%
Double Chance
1X 45%
X2 77%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
✓ 97.5% hit rate (40 picks)
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives VfB Stuttgart a 55% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SC Paderborn 07. Expected goals are 1.4 for SC Paderborn 07 and 2.6 for VfB Stuttgart (total 4.1), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.79% probability. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07
2W 0D 1L
VfB Stuttgart
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.3
2.3
Conceded
1.0
7.0
Shots OT
6.0
3.7
Corners
5.3
48%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
71%
100%
BTTS
29%
0%
Clean Sht
57%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
SC Paderborn 07
0W 0D 1L · at home
VfB Stuttgart
4W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.3
4.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
83%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
17%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ SC Paderborn 07 VfB Stuttgart →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9%
1 2.5% 6.5% 8.6% 7.5% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
W Phönix Lübeck 2–4
L Bayer Leverkusen 2–4
W FC Viktoria Köln 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
W Hansa Rostock 0–4
L Bayern München 3–0
W SC Freiburg 2–1
W Holstein Kiel 0–3
W VfL Bochum 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 41%

Playing profile

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
Attack
30
Defence
60
Form
53
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
Attack
58
Defence
73
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
SC Paderborn 07
0
Draw
1
VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct 2026 Bundesliga 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model gives SC Paderborn 07 a 23% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 55% for an VfB Stuttgart win.
How many goals are expected in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Expected goals: SC Paderborn 07 1.4, VfB Stuttgart 2.6 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.79%.