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Scotland - FYR Macedonia

UEFA Nations League November 13, 2026 20:45 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Scotland
#3 · 4 pts
vs
FYR Macedonia
#4 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.24%
Win
Scotland
20.62%
Draw
6.14%
Win
FYR Macedonia
1.88
Expected xG
0.3
Most likely outcome
Scotland
73.24%
Probability
62.9%
1X2 accuracy · 35 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.26%)
1X2 Result
1 73%
X 21%
2 6%
Double Chance
1X 94%
X2 27%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Scotland a 73% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 6% for FYR Macedonia. Expected goals are 1.9 for Scotland and 0.3 for FYR Macedonia (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.26% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Scotland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FYR Macedonia.

Season Stats

Scotland
4W 2D 6L
FYR Macedonia
5W 1D 4L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.1
3.8
Shots OT
2.9
3.7
Corners
2.8
47%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
58%
O 2.5
30%
42%
BTTS
10%
42%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
27%
BTTS
Scotland
1W 1D 4L · at home
FYR Macedonia
2W 1D 2L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.2
1.8
Conceded
1.2
17%
Win %
40%
33%
Win or Draw
60%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
40%
17%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
20%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
50%
Failed to Score
40%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Scotland FYR Macedonia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% — —
1 21.2% 6.4% 1.0% 0.1% — —
2 20.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% — —
3 12.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% — — —
5 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Scotland Scotland
L Slovenia 1–2
W FYR Macedonia 0–2
L Switzerland 0–3
D Slovenia 0–0
L Greece 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
L Switzerland 3–0
L Scotland 0–2
L Slovenia 2–0
L Switzerland 0–3
W Faroe Islands 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Scotland Scotland
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
31
FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
Attack
3
Defence
33
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Scotland
0
Draw
0
FYR Macedonia
3 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League 2–0

League B - Group A

# Team G Pts
1 Switzerland Switzerland 4 12
2 Slovenia Slovenia 4 7
3 Scotland Scotland 4 4
4 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 4 0

What's at stake · League B - Group A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Scotland FYR Macedonia
Current #3 #4
→ Scotland #3 #4
→ Draw #3 #4
→ FYR Macedonia #3 #4

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?
The model gives Scotland a 73% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 6% for an FYR Macedonia win.
How many goals are expected in Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?
Expected goals: Scotland 1.9, FYR Macedonia 0.3 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.26%.