Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo
Weather at kick-off
🌦️
Heavy drizzle
6.3°C
💨 8 km/h
🌧️ 30%
· Seattle
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.22%
Win
Seattle Sounders
16.54%
Draw
15.24%
Win
Houston Dynamo
2.71
1.08
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Seattle Sounders
68.22%
Probability
62.3%
1X2 accuracy · 61 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.03%)
1X2 Result
1
68%
X
17%
2
15%
Double Chance
✓ 90.2% hit rate (61 picks)
1X
85%
X2
32%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
71%
✓ 75.7% hit rate (144 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Seattle Sounders a 68% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Houston Dynamo. Expected goals are 2.7 for Seattle Sounders and 1.1 for Houston Dynamo (total 3.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.03% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Seattle Sounders have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Season Stats
4W
7D
4L
5W
7D
3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.3
Conceded
1.0
5.1
Shots OT
3.7
5.6
Corners
4.4
49%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
60%
53%
O 2.5
40%
67%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
3W
3D
4L
· at home
3W
4D
3L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
1.6
Conceded
1.2
30%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Seattle Sounders
Attack
51
Defence
63
Form
62
Houston Dynamo
Attack
35
Defence
52
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
5 Apr 2026
1–0
Western Conference
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
31 | 55 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
31 | 54 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
31 | 51 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
31 | 48 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
31 | 48 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
32 | 47 |
| 7 |
Seattle Sounders
|
31 | 43 |
| 8 |
Colorado Rapids
|
31 | 42 |
| 9 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
32 | 41 |
| 10 |
Real Salt Lake
|
31 | 39 |
| 11 |
Portland Timbers
|
31 | 37 |
| 12 |
San Diego
|
31 | 35 |
| 13 |
Minnesota United FC
|
31 | 35 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
31 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
31 | 22 |
What's at stake · Western Conference
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #7 | #5 |
| → Seattle Sounders | #7 | #5 |
| → Draw | #7 | #4 |
| → Houston Dynamo | #7 | #4 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
The model gives Seattle Sounders a 68% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 15% for an Houston Dynamo win.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 2.7, Houston Dynamo 1.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.03%.