Serbia - Germany
⚡ Pre-match analysis
14.04%
Win
Serbia
28.68%
Draw
57.28%
Win
Germany
0.56
1.54
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(17.17%)
1X2 Result
1
14%
X
29%
2
57%
Double Chance
1X
43%
X2
86%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Germany a 57% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 14% for Serbia. Expected goals are 0.6 for Serbia and 1.5 for Germany (total 2.1), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.17% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Serbia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Germany.
Season Stats
2W
4D
6L
6W
5D
3L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.9
1.2
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
5.8
2.8
Corners
5.6
35%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
79%
33%
O 2.5
50%
42%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
58%
BTTS
2W
2D
2L
· at home
2W
4D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
33%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
83%
33%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
17%
33%
BTTS
83%
67%
Clean Sht
17%
33%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Serbia
Germany →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.2% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Serbia
Attack
27
Defence
34
Form
0
Germany
Attack
42
Defence
75
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
1 Oct 2026
0–2
Unavailable
Germany
Injured
Injured
League A - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netherlands
|
4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Greece
|
4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Germany
|
4 | 5 |
| 4 |
Serbia
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League A - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Serbia | #4 | #3 |
| → Draw | #4 | #3 |
| → Germany | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Serbia vs Germany?
The model gives Serbia a 14% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 57% for an Germany win.
How many goals are expected in Serbia vs Germany?
Expected goals: Serbia 0.6, Germany 1.5 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Serbia vs Germany?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.17%.