G. Burke
(ast. D. Watts)
9'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 46% win probability (draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 28%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.. In 2 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St Patrick's Athl..
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
0.43
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
5
20
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Burke
· ast. D. Watts
9'
J. Byrne
33'
M. Healy
36'
61'
S. Hoare
63'
A. Keena
/
B. Baggley
J. McGovern
/ A. Greene
64'
J. Mulraney
/ M. Kovalevskis
67'
G. Burke
/ M. Noonan
74'
J. Byrne
/ J. O'Sullivan
74'
D. Watts
/ C. Malley
74'
77'
A. Breslin
/
L. Turner
77'
M. A. Mata
/
R. Edmondson
77'
D. Nugent
/
R. Palmer
A. Greene
83'
84'
G. Nzingo
/
J. Brown
88'
J. Redmond
E. McGinty
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
46.69%
Shamrock ←
25.21%
X
28.1%
St
we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers)
46.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
0.43
-1.29
1.26
0.56
-0.7
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ed McGinty
G
3
Enda Stevens
D
5
Lee Grace
D
22
Tunmise Sobowale
D
27
Cory O'Sullivan
M
29
Jack Byrne
74'
M
8
Matthew Healy
M
11
Jake Mulraney
67'
M
10
Graham Burke
1 ⚽
74'
F
7
Dylan Watts
1 👟
74'
F
88
J. McGovern
63'
F
J. McGovern
63'
F
Bench
9
Aaron Greene
31'
F
2
Adam Matthews
D
41
Alex Noonan
G
23
C. Malley
20'
M
C. Malley
20'
M
24
Egor Vassenin
D
Egor Vassenin
D
26
John O'Sullivan
20'
M
38
Max Kovaleskis
27'
F
31
Michael Noonan
20'
F
28
Naj Razi
M
94
Joseph Anang
G
Joseph Anang
G
24
Luke Turner
77'
D
Luke Turner
77'
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
Joe Redmond
D
Joe Redmond
D
23
James Brown
84'
D
James Brown
84'
D
19
Barry Baggley
63'
M
Barry Baggley
63'
M
6
Jamie Lennon
M
Jamie Lennon
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
M
Z. Elbouzedi
M
17
Romal Palmer
77'
M
Romal Palmer
77'
M
10
K. Leavy
M
K. Leavy
M
27
R. Edmondson
77'
F
R. Edmondson
77'
F
Bench
9
Aidan Keena
31'
F
Aidan Keena
31'
F
3
Anto Breslin
17'
D
Anto Breslin
17'
D
1
Danny Rogers
G
Danny Rogers
G
16
Darragh Nugent
17'
M
Darragh Nugent
17'
M
42
Glory Nzingo
10'
M
Glory Nzingo
10'
M
11
Jason McClelland
F
Jason McClelland
F
18
Max Mata
17'
F
Max Mata
17'
F
48
Ryan Sheridan
M
Ryan Sheridan
M
5
Tom Grivosti
D
Tom Grivosti
D
Best on the pitch
Lee Grace
D · Shamrock
7.70
1 shots
· 87 pass
Tunmise Sobowale
D · Shamrock
7.60
· 63 pass
Enda Stevens
D · Shamrock
7.30
1 shots
· 80 pass
Matthew Healy
M · Shamrock
7.30
· 82 pass
S. Hoare
D · St
7.20
· 42 pass
Graham Burke
F · Shamrock
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed McGinty | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Enda Stevens | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Grace | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Tunmise Sobowale | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| Cory O'Sullivan | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Byrne | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 90 | 77% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matthew Healy | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jake Mulraney | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Graham Burke | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Watts | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Greene | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Malley | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Kovaleskis | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Michael Noonan | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Anang | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luke Turner | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Joe Redmond | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| James Brown | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Barry Baggley | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jamie Lennon | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Romal Palmer | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Leavy | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Keena | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Anto Breslin | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Darragh Nugent | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Glory Nzingo | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Max Mata | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl..
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an St Patrick's Athl. win.