G. Burke
(ast. D. Watts)
9'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shamrock Rovers a 46% win probability (draw 25%, St Patrick's Athl. 28%). The final result was Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.. In 3 previous meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St Patrick's Athl..
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
0.43
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
5
20
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽G. Burke
· ast. D. Watts
9'
J. Byrne
33'
M. Healy
36'
61'
S. Hoare
63'
A. Keena
/
B. Baggley
J. McGovern
/ A. Greene
64'
J. Mulraney
/ M. Kovalevskis
67'
G. Burke
/ M. Noonan
74'
J. Byrne
/ J. O'Sullivan
74'
D. Watts
/ C. Malley
74'
77'
A. Breslin
/
L. Turner
77'
M. A. Mata
/
R. Edmondson
77'
D. Nugent
/
R. Palmer
A. Greene
83'
84'
G. Nzingo
/
J. Brown
88'
J. Redmond
E. McGinty
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
46.69%
Shamrock ←
25.21%
X
28.1%
St
we assigned to the actual result (Shamrock Rovers)
46.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
0.43
-1.29
1.26
0.56
-0.7
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. McGinty
G
E. McGinty
G
3
E. Stevens
D
E. Stevens
D
5
L. Grace
D
L. Grace
D
22
T. Sobowale
D
T. Sobowale
D
27
C. O'Sullivan
M
C. O'Sullivan
M
29
J. Byrne
74'
M
J. Byrne
74'
M
8
M. Healy
M
M. Healy
M
11
J. Mulraney
67'
M
J. Mulraney
67'
M
10
G. Burke
1 ⚽
74'
F
G. Burke
1 ⚽
74'
F
7
D. Watts
1 👟
74'
F
D. Watts
1 👟
74'
F
88
J. McGovern
63'
F
J. McGovern
63'
F
Bench
2
Adam Matthews
D
Adam Matthews
D
9
A. Greene
31'
F
A. Greene
31'
F
41
Alex Noonan
G
Alex Noonan
G
23
C. Malley
20'
M
C. Malley
20'
M
24
E. Vassenin
D
E. Vassenin
D
26
John O'Sullivan
20'
M
John O'Sullivan
20'
M
38
Max Kovaleskis
27'
F
Max Kovaleskis
27'
F
31
M. Noonan
20'
F
M. Noonan
20'
F
28
Naj Razi
M
94
J. Anang
G
J. Anang
G
24
L. Turner
77'
D
L. Turner
77'
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
J. Redmond
D
J. Redmond
D
23
J. Brown
84'
D
J. Brown
84'
D
19
B. Baggley
63'
M
B. Baggley
63'
M
6
J. Lennon
M
J. Lennon
M
7
Z. Elbouzedi
M
Z. Elbouzedi
M
17
R. Palmer
77'
M
R. Palmer
77'
M
10
K. Leavy
M
K. Leavy
M
27
R. Edmondson
77'
F
R. Edmondson
77'
F
Bench
3
A. Breslin
17'
D
A. Breslin
17'
D
9
A. Keena
31'
F
A. Keena
31'
F
16
D. Nugent
17'
M
D. Nugent
17'
M
1
D. Rogers
G
D. Rogers
G
42
Glory Nzingo
10'
M
Glory Nzingo
10'
M
11
J. McClelland
F
J. McClelland
F
18
Max Mata
17'
F
Max Mata
17'
F
48
R. Sheridan
M
R. Sheridan
M
5
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
Best on the pitch
L. Grace
D · Shamrock
7.70
1 shots
· 87 pass
T. Sobowale
D · Shamrock
7.60
· 63 pass
E. Stevens
D · Shamrock
7.30
1 shots
· 80 pass
M. Healy
M · Shamrock
7.30
· 82 pass
S. Hoare
D · St
7.20
· 42 pass
G. Burke
F · Shamrock
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Shamrock Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. McGinty | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Stevens | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 77% | — | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| C. O'Sullivan | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 90 | 77% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Healy | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Mulraney | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D. Watts | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Greene | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Malley | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Kovaleskis | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anang | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Turner | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Redmond | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Brown | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Baggley | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Lennon | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Palmer | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Leavy | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Breslin | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Keena | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Nugent | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Glory Nzingo | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Max Mata | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The final score was Shamrock Rovers 1–0 St Patrick's Athl..
What did the model predict before Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Shamrock Rovers win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an St Patrick's Athl. win.