Spain - England
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
13.8°C
💨 10 km/h
· Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.86%
Win
Spain
24.98%
Draw
20.16%
Win
England
1.96
1.13
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.68%)
1X2 Result
1
55%
X
25%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
45%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spain a 54% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 20% for England. Expected goals are 2.0 for Spain and 1.1 for England (total 3.1), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.68% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Spain have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for England.
Season Stats
10W
4D
0L
8W
0D
2L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
3.0
1.4
Conceded
0.6
6.9
Shots OT
6.2
5.1
Corners
6.5
59%
Poss.
66%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
70%
79%
BTTS
30%
21%
Clean Sht
70%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
56%
O 3.5
46%
BTTS
6W
1D
0L
· at home
5W
0D
0L
· away
3.1
gls/g
3.4
1.6
Conceded
0.2
86%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
86%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
60%
71%
O 3.5
40%
71%
BTTS
20%
29%
Clean Sht
80%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Spain
England →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Spain
Attack
62
Defence
75
Form
79
England
Attack
61
Defence
67
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
England
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Spain | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → England | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spain vs England?
The model gives Spain a 54% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 20% for an England win.
How many goals are expected in Spain vs England?
Expected goals: Spain 2.0, England 1.1 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Spain vs England?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.68%.