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Spennymoor Town - Chester

National League North November 17, 2026 20:45
Spennymoor Town
#24 · 7 pts
vs
Chester
#5 · 23 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.23%
Win
Spennymoor Town
26.12%
Draw
42.65%
Win
Chester
1.2
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.3%)
1X2 Result ✓ 61.5% hit rate (13 picks)
1 31%
X 26%
2 43%
Double Chance ✓ 84.6% hit rate (13 picks)
1X 57%
X2 69%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chester a 42% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Spennymoor Town. Expected goals are 1.2 for Spennymoor Town and 1.6 for Chester (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.3% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Spennymoor Town have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Chester.

Season Stats

Spennymoor Town
2W 5D 8L
Chester
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
1.9
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
40%
73%
BTTS
53%
7%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League North. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Spennymoor Town
2W 4D 4L · at home
Chester
5W 2D 3L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.2
20%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
20%
80%
BTTS
70%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spennymoor Town Chester →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 9.7% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
L South Shields 0–1
L Darlington 1883 3–0
L Brackley Town 2–1
D Southport 2–2
D Macclesfield 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 11%
Chester Chester
W Marine 2–1
L South Shields 3–1
W Bedford Town 1–0
W Worksop Town 4–1
L Buxton 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
Attack
24
Defence
46
Form
26
Chester Chester
Attack
29
Defence
65
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Spennymoor Town
0
Draw
2
Chester
3 Oct 2026 FA Cup 4–1
28 Feb 2026 National League North 1–2
20 Jan 2026 National League North 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Oxford City Oxford City 13 27
2 Hereford Hereford 13 26
3 South Shields South Shields 13 26
4 Macclesfield Macclesfield 12 24
5 Chester Chester 13 23
6 Buxton Buxton 14 23
7 Bedford Town Bedford Town 13 22
8 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 14 21
9 King's Lynn Town King's Lynn Town 14 21
10 Morecambe Morecambe 13 20
11 Chorley Chorley 13 20
12 Worksop Town Worksop Town 14 20
13 Hebburn Town Hebburn Town 13 19
14 Spalding United Spalding United 13 18
15 Marine Marine 13 16
16 Harborough Town Harborough Town 13 16
17 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 14 16
18 Brackley Town Brackley Town 14 16
19 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 13 15
20 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 14 15
21 Radcliffe Radcliffe 14 15
22 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 14 11
23 Southport Southport 13 10
24 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 13 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
The model gives Spennymoor Town a 31% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 42% for an Chester win.
How many goals are expected in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Expected goals: Spennymoor Town 1.2, Chester 1.6 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.